Today, in his usual remarkable way, Mark Danner
takes stock of the president's failed War on Terror abroad. One day, we will
also need to take full stock of George W. Bush's War on Terror at home. After
all, conceptually speaking, the War on Terror lay at the heart of everything
he and his top officials hoped for in an administration in, as they called
it, a "unitary executive" that would be unrestrained by the checks and balances
of either Congress or the courts. The announcement
(not declaration) of "war" was, in fact, a necessity for this administration,
the only lever available with which to pry a commander-in-chief presidency out
of the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001.
Without the president's self-proclaimed
War on Terror, there would have been no "war" at all, and so no "wartime"
atmosphere or "wartime" presidency to be invoked to cow Congress into backing
Bush's future war of choice in Iraq. Without "war" and "wartime," it would have
been impossible to bring the American people along so readily and difficult
to apply "war rules" from the Guantanamo prison complex in Cuba and Bagram Air
Base in Afghanistan to Abu Ghraib in Iraq. Otherwise, as Philip Gourevitch and
Errol Morris recently pointed
out in the New Yorker, how could American officials and commanders
have designated those prisoners seized by the U.S. military in Iraq as "'security
detainees,' a label that had gained currency in the war on terror, to describe
'unlawful combatants' and other prisoners who had been denied POW status and
could be held indefinitely, in isolation and secrecy, without judicial recourse."
Every hope the Bush administration's top officials had of future power hinged
on the War on Terror that preceded actual war anywhere. True, in World War I,
not 19 hijackers, but a single assassin triggered the mobilizing of the armies
of all the Great Powers of Europe, which did indeed lead to global war. But
after 9/11, on the provocation of 19 men (and the scattered bands behind them),
only one power mobilized, which meant, by the standards of history, there was
no war to be had. Only aggression.
On the domestic power grab that the president and his men (and a few women)
believed would lead not just to a global Pax Americana, but to a Pax
Republicana at home, the equivalent of a National Intelligence Estimate
has yet to arrive. But the recent, little noted loss
of the previously safe Illinois seat of former House of Representatives Majority
Leader Dennis Hastert a contest into which a strapped National Republican
Congressional Committee poured $1.2 million (20 percent of the cash it had on
hand) against a neophyte Democratic candidate is a striking sign that Bush's
Pax Republicana may prove anything but generational. In the meantime,
consider with Mark Danner, author most recently of The
Secret Way to War, the fate of that global Pax Americana which
the War on Terror was intended to bring about. Tom
Taking Stock of the War on Terror
A defeat only American power could have brought about
by Mark Danner
[This essay was adapted from an address first delivered in February at
the Tenth Asia Security Conference at the Institute for Security and Defense
Analysis in New Delhi.]
To contemplate a prewar
map of Baghdad as I do the one before me, with sectarian neighborhoods traced
out in blue and red and yellow is to look back on a lost Baghdad, a Baghdad
of our dreams. My map of 2003 is colored mostly a rather neutral yellow, indicating
the "mixed" neighborhoods of the city, predominant just five years ago. To take
up a contemporary map after this is to be confronted by a riot of bright color:
Shia blue has moved in irrevocably from the East of the Tigris; Sunni red has
fled before it, as Shia militias pushed the Sunnis inexorably west toward Abu
Ghraib and Anbar province, and nearly out of the capital itself. And everywhere,
it seems, the pale yellow of those mixed neighborhoods is gone, obliterated
in the months and years of sectarian war.
I start with those maps out of a lust for something concrete, as I grope
about in the abstract, struggling to quantify the unquantifiable. How indeed
to "take stock" of the War on Terror? Such a strange beast it is, like one
of those mythological creatures that is part goat, part lion, part man. Let
us take a moment and identify each of these parts. For if we look closely
at its misshapen contours, we can see in the War on Terror:
Part anti-guerrilla mountain struggle, as in Afghanistan;
Part shooting-war-cum-occupation-cum-counterinsurgency, as in Iraq;
Part intelligence, spy v. spy covert struggle, fought quietly "on the dark
side," as Vice President Dick Cheney put it shortly after 9/11 in a vast
territory stretching from the southern Philippines to the Maghreb and the
Straits of Gibraltar;
And finally the War on Terror is part, perhaps its largest part, Virtual
War an ongoing, permanent struggle, and in its ongoing political utility
not wholly unlike Orwell's famous world war between Eurasia, East Asia, and
Oceania that is unbounded in space and in time, never ending, always expanding.
Snowflakes Drifting Down on the War on Terror
President Bush announced this virtual war three days after Sept. 11, 2001,
in the National Cathedral in Washington, appropriately enough, when he told
Americans that "our responsibility to history is already clear: to answer these
attacks and rid the world of evil."
Astonishing words from a world leader declaring that he would "rid the
world of evil." Just in case anyone thought they might have misheard the sweep
of the president's ambition, his National Security Strategy, issued a few
months later, was careful to specify that "the enemy is not a single political
regime or person or religion or ideology. The enemy is terrorism premeditated,
politically motivated violence perpetrated against innocents."
Again, a remarkable statement, as many commentators were quick to point out;
for declaring war on "terrorism" a technique of war, not an identifiable
group or target was simply unprecedented, and, indeed, bewildering in its
implications. As one counterinsurgency specialist remarked to me, "Declaring
war on terrorism is like declaring war on air power."
Six and a half years later, evil is still with us and so is terrorism. In
my search for a starting point in taking stock of those years, I find myself
in the sad position of pondering fondly what have become two of the saddest
words in the English language: Donald Rumsfeld.
Remember him? In late October 2003, when I was in Baghdad watching the launch
of the so-called Ramadan Offensive five simultaneous suicide bombings, beginning
with one at the headquarters of the Red Cross, the fiery aftermath of which
I witnessed then-Secretary of Defense Rumsfeld was in Washington still denying
that an insurgency was underway in Iraq. He was also drafting one of his famous
"snowflakes," those late-night memoranda which he used to rain down on his terrorized
Pentagon employees.
This particular snowflake, dated Oct. 16, 2003, and entitled "Global War on
Terrorism," reads almost poignantly now, as the defense secretary gropes to
define the war that it has become his lot to fight: "Today we lack metrics to
know if we are winning or losing the global war on terror," he wrote. "Are we
capturing, killing, or deterring and dissuading more terrorists every day than
the madrassas and the radical clerics are recruiting, training, and deploying
against us?"
Rumsfeld asks the right question, for beyond the obvious metrics like the number
of terrorist attacks worldwide which have gone up steadily, and precipitously
since 9/11 (for 2006, the last year for which State Department figures are available,
by nearly 29 percent, to 14,338); and the somewhat subtler ones like the percentage
of those in the Middle East and the broader Muslim world who hold unfavorable
opinions of the United States (which soared in the wake of the invasion of Iraq
and have fallen back just a bit since) apart from these sorts of numbers which,
for various and obvious reasons, are problematic in themselves, the key question
is: How do you "take stock" of the War on Terror? At the end of the day,
as Secretary Rumsfeld perceived, this is a political judgment, for in its essence
it has to do with the evolution of public opinion and the readiness of those
with certain political sympathies to move from holding those opinions to taking
action in support of them.
What "metrics" do we have to take account of the progress of this "evolution"?
Well, none really but we do have the guarded opinions of intelligence agencies,
notably this rather explicit statement from the U.S. government's National
Intelligence Estimate (NIE) of April 2006, entitled "Trends in Global Terrorism:
Implications for the United States," which reads in part: "Although we cannot
measure the extent of the spread with precision" those metrics again "a
large body of all-source reporting indicates that activists identifying themselves
as jihadists, although still a small percentage of Muslims, are increasing
in both number and geographic distribution. If this trend continues, threats
to U.S. interests at home and abroad will become more diverse, leading to
increasing attacks worldwide."
Dark words, and yet that 2006 report looks positively sanguine when set beside
two reports from a year later, both leaked in July 2007. A National Intelligence
Estimate entitled "The Terrorist Threat to the U.S. Homeland" noted that al-Qaeda
had managed in the summary in the Washington Post to reestablish
"its central organization, training infrastructure, and lines of global communication,"
over the previous two years and had placed the United States in a "heightened
threat environment.
The U.S. Homeland will face a persistent and evolving
terrorist threat over the next three years."
This NIE the combined opinion of the country's major intelligence agencies
only confirmed a report that had been leaked a couple days before from the
National Counterterrorism Center, grimly entitled "Al-Qaeda Better Positioned
to Strike the West." This report concluded that al-Qaeda, in the words of one
official who briefed its contents to a reporter for the Christian Science
Monitor, was "considerably operationally stronger than a year ago," "has
regrouped to an extent not seen since 2001," and has managed to create "the
most robust training program since 2001, with an interest in using European
operatives." Another intelligence official, summarizing the report to the Associated
Press, offered a blunt and bleak conclusion: al-Qaeda, he said, is "showing
greater and greater ability to plan attacks in Europe and the United States."
Given these grim results, one must return to one of the more poignant passages
in Secretary Rumsfeld's "snowflake," released to flutter down on his poor Pentagon
subordinates back in those blinkered days of October 2003. Having wondered about
the metrics, and what could and could not be measured in the War on Terror,
the secretary of defense posed a critical question: "Does the U.S. need to fashion
a broad, integrated plan to stop the next generation of terrorists?"
For me, the poignancy comes from Mr. Rumsfeld's failure to see that, in effect,
he and his boss had already "fashioned" the "broad, integrated plan" he was
asking for. It was called the Iraq War.
General Bin Laden
That the Iraq War is "fueling the spread of the jidahist movement," as the
2006 National Intelligence Estimate put it, has been a truism of intelligence
reporting from the war's beginning; indeed, from before it began. "[T]he Iraq
conflict has become the cause célèbre for jihadists, breeding
a deep resentment of U.S. involvement in the Muslim world and cultivating support
for the global jihadist movement" this point from the 2006 NIE is truly an
example of a "chronicle of a war foretold" (to borrow from Garcia Marquez).
In fact, that NIE cites the "Iraq jihad" as the second of four factors "fueling
the jihadist movement," along with "entrenched grievances, such as corruption,
injustice, and fear of Western domination, leading to anger, humiliation, and
a sense of powerlessness"; "the slow pace of real and sustained economic, social,
and political reforms in many Muslim majority nations"; and "pervasive anti-U.S.
sentiment among most Muslims."
Any attempt to "take stock of the War on Terror" must begin with the sad
fact that the story of that war has largely become the story of the
war in Iraq as well, and the story of the Iraq War (all discussion of the
so-called Surge aside) has been pretty much an unmitigated disaster for U.S.
security and for the United States position in the Middle East and the world.
Which means that telling the story of the War on Terror, a half dozen years
on and "taking stock" of that War merges inevitably with the sad tale
of how that so-called war, strange and multiform beast that it is, became
subsumed in a bold and utterly incompetent attempt to occupy and remake a
major Arab country.
That broader story comes down to a matter of two strategies and two generals:
General Osama bin Laden and General George W. Bush. General bin Laden, from
the start, has been waging a campaign of indirection and provocation:
that is, bin Laden's ultimate targets are the so-called apostate regimes of
the Muslim world foremost among them, the Mubarak regime in Egypt and the
House of Saud on the Arabian peninsula which he hopes to overthrow and supplant
with a New Caliphate.
For bin Laden, these are the "near enemies," which rely for their existence
on the vital support of the "far enemy," the United States. By attacking this
far enemy, beginning in the mid-1990s, bin Laden hoped both to lead vast numbers
of new Muslim recruits to join al-Qaeda and to weaken U.S. support for the Mubarak
and Saud regimes. He hoped to succeed, through indirection, in "cutting the
strings of the puppets," eventually leading to the collapse of those regimes.
In this sense, 9/11 proved the culmination of a long-term strategy, following
on a series of attacks of increasing lethality during the mid to late 1990s
in Riyadh, Nairobi, Dar es Salaam, and Aden. The 9/11 attackers used as their
climactic weapon not transcontinental airliners or box cutters but the television
set for the image was the true weapon that day, the overwhelmingly powerful
image of the towers collapsing and used it not only to "dirty the face of
imperial power" (Menachem Begin's description of what terrorists do), but
also to provoke the United States to strike deep into the Islamic world.
It is clear from various documents and from the assassination, days before
9/11, of Afghan Northern Alliance leader Ahmed Shah Masood, that bin Laden
expected this American counter-strike to come in Afghanistan, which would
have given al-Qaeda the opportunity to do to the remaining superpower what
it had done so the myth went, anyway to the Soviet Union a dozen years
before: trap its arrogant, hulking military in a quagmire and, through patient,
unrelenting guerrilla warfare, force it to withdraw in ignominious defeat.
In the event, of course, the Americans, by relying on air bombardment and
on the ground forces of their Afghan allies in the Northern Alliance, avoided
the quagmire of Afghanistan at least in that initial phase in the fall of
2001 and instead offered bin Laden a much greater gift. In March 2003, they
invaded Iraq, a far more important Islamic country and one much closer to
the heart of Arab concerns.
General Bush
Why did General George W. Bush do it? Lacking in legitimacy and on the political
defensive, the president and his administration moved instantly to transform
the War on Terror into an ideological crusade, one implicitly crafted as a
New Cold War.
"They hate our freedoms," Bush told Congress and the nation a few days after
the 9/11 attacks. "Our freedom of speech, our freedom to vote and assemble and
disagree with one another.
We are not deceived by their pretenses to piety.
We have seen their kind before. They are the heirs of all the murderous ideologies
of the 20th century. By sacrificing human life to serve their radical visions
by abandoning every value except the will to power they follow in the path
of fascism, and Nazism, and totalitarianism. And they will follow that path
all the way, to where it ends: in history's unmarked grave of discarded lies."
Drawing a lurid picture of a New Cold War, with terrorists playing the role
of communists, Bush rallied the country behind the War on Terror, obliterating
the subtleties of the struggle against al-Qaeda and with them the critique
of U.S. Middle East policy implicit in the assault. "This is not about our
policies," as Henry Kissinger put it soon after the attack. "This is about
our existence." In this view, the attack came not because of what the United
States actually did in the Middle East what regimes it supported,
for example but because of what it stood for: the universalist aspirations
it symbolized. Iraq quickly became part of this crusade, the great struggle
to protect, and now to spread, freedom and democracy.
One can argue long and hard about the roots of the Iraq War, but in the end
one must tease out a set of realist compulsions (centrally concerned with
the restoration of American credibility and American deterrent power) and
idealist aspirations (shaped around the so-called Democratic Domino effect).
The realist case was well summarized, once again, by Henry Kissinger, who,
when asked by a Bush speechwriter why he supported the Iraq War, replied:
"Because Afghanistan wasn't enough." In the conflict with radical Islam, he
went on, "They want to humiliate us and we have to humiliate them." The Iraq
war was essential in order to make the point that "we're not going to live
in the world that they want for us."
Ron Suskind, in his fine book The One Percent Doctrine, puts what
is essentially the same point in "geostrategic" terms, reporting that, in
meetings of the National Security Council in the months after the 9/11 attacks,
the main concern "was to make an example of [Saddam] Hussein, to create a
demonstration model to guide the behavior of anyone with the temerity to acquire
destructive weapons or, in any way, flout the authority of the United States."
Set alongside this was the "democratic tsunami" that was to follow the shock-and-awe
triumph over Saddam. It would sweep through the Middle East from Iraq to Iran
and thence to Syria and Palestine. ("The road to Jerusalem" so ran the neoconservative
gospel at the time "runs through Baghdad.") As I wrote in October 2002,
five months before the Iraq War was launched, this vision was detailed and
well elaborated:
"Behind the notion that an American intervention will make of Iraq 'the
first Arab democracy,' as Deputy Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz put it, lies
a project of great ambition. It envisions a post-Saddam Hussein Iraq secular,
middle-class, urbanized, rich with oil that will replace the autocracy of
Saudi Arabia as the key American ally in the Persian Gulf, allowing the withdrawal
of United States troops from the kingdom. The presence of a victorious American
Army in Iraq would then serve as a powerful boost to moderate elements in neighboring
Iran, hastening that critical country's evolution away from the mullahs and
toward a more moderate course. Such an evolution in Tehran would lead to a withdrawal
of Iranian support for Hezbollah and other radical groups, thereby isolating
Syria and reducing pressure on Israel. This undercutting of radicals on Israel's
northern borders and within the West Bank and Gaza would spell the definitive
end of Yasser Arafat and lead eventually to a favorable solution of the Arab-Israeli
problem.
"This is a vision of great sweep and imagination: comprehensive, prophetic,
evangelical. In its ambitions, it is wholly foreign to the modesty of containment,
the ideology of a status-quo power that lay at the heart of American strategy
for half a century. It means to remake the world, to offer to a political threat
a political answer. It represents a great step on the road toward President
Bush's ultimate vision of 'freedom's triumph over all its age-old foes.'"
One can identify two factors underlying this vision: first, the great enthusiasm
for a moralistic foreign policy based on universalized principles and democratic
reform that dated back to containment's main rival, the "rollback" movement
of the 1950s, and that had been revivified by the thrilling series of Eastern
European revolutions of the late 1980s and by scenes of popular, American-aided
democratic triumph (as it was then thought to be) in Afghanistan; and, second,
the recognition that terrorism, at the end of the day, was a political problem
that arose from a calcified authoritarian order in the Middle East and that
only a dose of "creative destabilization" could shake up that order. "Transforming
the Middle East," in Condoleezza Rice's words, "is the only guarantee that
it will no longer produce ideologies of hatred that lead men to fly airplanes
into buildings in New York and Washington."
The latter perception that terrorism as it struck the United States arose
from political factors and that it could only be confronted and defeated with
a political response strikes me as incontestable. The problem the administration
faced, or rather didn't want to face, was that the calcified order that lay
at the root of the problem was the very order that, for nearly six decades,
had been shaped, shepherded, and sustained by the United States. We see an explicit
acknowledgment of this in the "Bletchley II" report drafted after 9/11 at Defense
Department urging by a number of intellectuals close to the administration:
"The general analysis," one of its authors told the Washington Post's
Bob Woodward, "was that Egypt and Saudi Arabia, where most of the hijackers
came from, were the key, but the problems there are intractable. Iran is more
important.
But Iran was similarly difficult to envision dealing with. But
Saddam Hussein was different, weaker, more vulnerable
"
A Very Complicated War
In this sense, many of the Bush administration's leading Iraq War backers
comprised a kind of guerrilla force within the U.S. government, fighting against
a long-standing strategic alignment in the Middle East. This guerrilla status,
which defined many of the government's most knowledgeable Middle East hands
as enemies to be isolated and ignored, helps to account, at least in part,
for a great many of the extraordinary incompetencies and disasters of the
war itself. That the roots of the war lie in stark opposition to established
U.S. policy also helps explain the central conundrum of the current U.S. strategic
position in Iraq and the Middle East. This was defined for me with typical
concision and aplomb by Ahmed Chalabi in Baghdad last year. "The American
tragedy in Iraq," said Chalabi, "is that your friends in Iraq are allied with
your enemies in the region, and your enemies in Iraq are allied with your
friends in the region."
Chalabi's concision and wit are admirable (and typical); but his point, once
you look at the map, is obvious. The United States has made possible the rise
to power in Iraq of a Shi'ite government which is allied with its major geopolitical
antagonist in the region, the Islamic Republic of Iran. And the United States
has been fighting with great persistence and distinctly mixed results a Sunni
insurgency which is allied with the Saudis, the Jordanians, and its other
longtime friends among the traditional Sunni autocracies of the Gulf.
This is another way of saying that the U.S. policy built on the famous meeting
between President Franklin D. Roosevelt and King ibn Saud aboard Roosevelt's
cruiser on the Great Bitter Lake near the end of World War II a policy that
envisioned a vital, mutually beneficial, and enduring alliance between the
Saudis and the Americans having been put in grave question by the Saudi
insurgents at the controls of those mighty airliners of September 11th, now
smashed full on into the strategic assault perpetrated by the Bush administration
insurgents led by Paul Wolfowitz and his associates. Their "creative destabilization"
was aimed not just at Saddam Hussein's Iraq, but at more than a half century
of American policy in the Middle East.
Al-Qaeda, opportunistic as always, was willing to play this game, seizing on
the occupation of Iraq as the golden opportunity it most certainly was and focusing
on the Shi'ite-Sunni divide on which U.S. policy was foundering. The late Abu
Musab al-Zarqawi's famous intercepted letter to Ayman al-Zawahiri and bin Laden,
in which the insurgent leader of al-Qaeda in Mesopotamia told the al-Qaeda potentates
the front office, as it were that his aim in Iraq was to "awaken
the sleeping Sunnis" by launching a vast bombing campaign against the "Shi'ite
heretic," describes precisely both the national and regional strategy: "If we
manage to draw them into the terrain of partisan war, it will be possible to
tear the Sunnis away from their heedlessness, for they will feel the weight
of the imminence of danger."
This is a strategy that, after the bombing of the revered al-Askari mosque
and shrine in Samarra in February 2006, bore terrible fruit. My map that shows
divisions running through Baghdad will show, if you zoom out, those same divisions
running through Iraq and beyond its borders. Like the former Yugoslavia, Iraq
is a nation that gathers within itself the cultural and sectarian fault lines
of the region; the Sunni-Shia divide running through Iraq in effect runs through
the entire Middle East. The United States, in choosing this place to stage
its Democratic Revolution, could hardly have done al-Qaeda a better favor.
At this moment, the Iraq War is at a stalemate. Confronted with a growing
threat from those "enemies allied with its friends in the region," the Sunni
insurgents, the Bush administration has adopted a practical and typically
American strategy: it has bought them. The Americans have purchased the insurgency,
hiring its foot soldiers at the rate of $300 per month. The Sunni fighters,
once called insurgents, we now refer to as "tribesmen" or "concerned citizens."
This has isolated al-Qaeda, a tactical victory. But because these purchased
Sunni fighters have not been accepted by the Shi'ite government the allies
of our enemies the United States has set in motion a policy that will require,
to keep violence at current levels, its own permanent presence in the country.
This at a time when two in three Americans think the war was a mistake and
when both surviving Democrat candidates vow to begin bringing the troops home
"on day one" of a Democratic administration.
On the horizon, after such a withdrawal, is a re-ignition of the civil war
at an even more brutal level, helped by the American rearming of the Sunni
forces and indeed the American arming of Shia government forces as well.
It is a curious reality, if we look again at the regional map, that the current
geostrategic situation in the Middle East resembles nothing so much as the
Iraq-Iran War of the 1980s, in which the United States, along with Egypt,
the Saudis, and the Jordanians supported Saddam Hussein's Iraq in its great
war against Ayatollah Khomeini's Iran. We see a similar array of forces today,
with these two differences: First, we must move the line of conflict about
two hundred miles west, shifting it from the Iraq-Iran border to a line running
through Baghdad along the Tigris River. Second, the United States is now arming
and supporting both sides. And behind the current configuration and the supposed
"success of the Surge" looms the darkening threat of regionalization a region-wide
struggle fought over the body of Iraq in the wake of an American withdrawal.
It has become, to appropriate a phrase, a Very Complicated War.
A Defeat Only American Power Could Have Brought About
Whether or not this darkest of dark visions comes to pass, that very complicated
war in Iraq, as the intelligence analysts and our own eyes tell us, will continue
to pay vast dividends into the account of political grievances with which terrorist
groups recruit. This has only partly to do with the original al-Qaeda itself
(or "al-Qaeda prime," as some analysts now call it); for however much it has
managed to "reconstitute" itself, the true game has moved elsewhere, toward
"viral al-Qaeda" "spontaneous groups of friends," in the words of former CIA
analyst and psychiatrist Marc Sageman, "as in [the] Madrid and Casablanca [bombings],
who have few links to any central leadership, [who] are generating sometimes
very dangerous terrorist operations, notwithstanding their frequent errors and
poor training."
While U.S. and allied intelligence agencies have had considerable success
attacking the various formal nodes of al-Qaeda prime on the Arabian peninsula
and elsewhere, those struggles have about them the air of the past; we have
really passed into a different era, the era of the amateurs. Today's network
is self-organized, Internet reliant, and decentralized, dependent not on armies,
training, or even technology but on desire and political will. And we have
ensured, by the way we have fought this forever war, that it is precisely
these vital qualities our enemies have in large and growing supply.
So how, finally, do we "take stock of the War on Terror"? Let me suggest
three words:
- Fragmentation brought about by "creative destabilization," as we
see it not only in Iraq but in Lebanon, Palestine, and elsewhere in the region.
- Diminution of American prestige, both military and political, and
thus of American power.
- Destruction of the political consensus within the United States
for a strong global role.
Gaze for a moment at those three words and marvel at how far we have come
in a half-dozen years.
In September 2001, the United States faced a grave threat. The attacks that
have become synonymous with that date were unprecedented in their destructiveness,
in their lethality, in the pure apocalyptic shock of their spectacle. But
in their aftermath, American policymakers, partly through ideological blindness
and preening exaggeration of American power, partly through blindness brought
about by political opportunism, made decisions that led to a defeat only their
own actions that only American power itself could have brought about.
A small coven of America's enemies, using the strategy of provocation so
familiar in guerrilla warfare, had launched in spectacular fashion on that
bright September morning a plan to use the superpower's strength against itself.
To use a different metaphor, they were trying to make good on Archimedes'
celebrated boast: having found the perfect lever and place to stand, they
proposed to move the Earth. To an extent I am sure even they did not anticipate,
in their choice of opponent an evangelical, redemptive regime scornful of
history and determined to remake the fallen world lay the seeds of their
success.
Mark Danner is the author, most recently, of Torture
and Truth: America, Abu Ghraib and the War on Terror (2004) and The
Secret Way to War: The Downing Street Memo and the Iraq War's Buried History
(2007). He has covered the Iraq war from its beginning for the New York
Review of Books. He teaches at both Bard College and the Graduate School
of Journalism at the University of California, Berkeley. His work is archived
at MarkDanner.com.
Copyright 2008 Mark Danner