Be depressed. Be very depressed. You thought that
cyberspace a term conjured
up long ago by that neuromancer, sci-fi author William Gibson was
the last frontier of freedom. Well, think again. If the U.S. Air Force has anything
to say about it, cyber-freedom will, in the not so distant future, be just another
word for domination.
Air Force officials, despite a year-long air surge in Iraq, undoubtedly worry
that Secretary of Defense Robert Gates's "next
wars" (two, three, many Afghanistans) won't have much room for air glory.
Recently, looking for new realms to bomb, it launched itself into cyberspace.
The Air Force has now set up its own Cyber Command, redefined the Internet as
just more "air space" fit for "cyber-craft," and launched its own Bush-style
preemptive strike on the other military services for budgetary control of the
same.
If that's not enough for you, it's now proposing a massive $30 billion cyberspace
boondoggle, as retired Air Force Lt. Col. William Astore writes below, that
will, theoretically, provide the Air Force with the ability to fry any computer
on Earth. And don't think the other services are likely to take this lying down.
Expect cyberwar in
the Pentagon before this is all over. In the meantime, think of cyberspace,
in military terms, as a new realm for nuclear-style strategy, with its own developing
version of "first-strike capability," its own future versions of "mutually assured
destruction," its own "windows of vulnerability" to be closed (while exploiting
those of the enemy), and undoubtedly its own "cyber-gaps."
In fact, it looks like the national-security version of cyberspace may soon
be a very, very busy place. Noah Shachtman, who covers the subject like a rug
at his Wired Magazine Danger
Room blog, recently noted that Comcast, the
country's second-largest Internet provider, "has just advertised for an
engineer to handle 'reconnaissance' and 'analysis' of 'subscriber intelligence'
for the company's 'National Security Operations'" that is, for the U.S.
government. ("Day-to-day tasks, the company says in an online job listing, will
include 'deploy[ing], installing] and remov[ing] strategic and tactical data
intercept equipment on a nationwide basis to meet Comcast and Government lawful
intercept needs.'") Ain't that sweet.
And it shouldn't be too tough a job. As Shachtman also points out, "Since
May 2007, all Internet providers have been required to install gear for easy
wiretapping under the Communications Assistance for Law Enforcement Act."
Sigh. Those who don't learn from history are bound to... get ever more bloated
budgets. Tom
Attention Geeks and Hackers
Uncle Sam's Cyber Force Wants You!
By William J. Astore
Recently, while I was on a visit to Salon.com,
my computer screen momentarily went black. A glitch? A power surge? No, it was
a pop-up ad for the
U.S. Air Force, warning me that an enemy cyber-attack could come at any moment
with dire consequences for my ability to connect to the Internet. It
was an Outer Limits moment.
Remember that eerie sci-fi show
from the early 1960s? The one that began in a blur with the message, "There
is nothing wrong with your television set. Do not attempt to adjust the picture.
We are controlling transmission"? It felt a little like that.
And speaking of Air Force ads, there's one currently running on TV and on
the Internet that starts with a bird's eye view of the Pentagon as a narrator
intones, "This building will be attacked three million times today. Who's going
to protect it?" Two Army colleagues of mine nearly died on September 11, 2001,
when the third hijacked plane crashed into the Pentagon, so I can't say I appreciated
the none-too-subtle reminder of that day's carnage. Leaving that aside, it turns
out that the ad is referring to cyber-attacks and that the cyber protector it
has in mind is a new breed of "air" warrior, part of an entirely new Cyber
Command run by
the Air Force. Using the latest technology, our cyber elite will "shoot
down" enemy hackers and saboteurs, both foreign and domestic, thereby dominating
the realm of cyberspace, just as the Air Force is currently seeking to dominate
the planet's air space and then space itself "to
the shining stars and beyond."
Part of the Air Force's new "above all" vision of full-spectrum dominance,
America's emerging cyber force has control fantasies that would impress George
Orwell. Working
with the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), the Department
of Homeland Security, and other governmental agencies, the Air Force's stated
goal is to gain access to, and control over, any and all networked computers,
anywhere on Earth, at a proposed cost to you, the American taxpayer, of $30
billion over the first five years.
Here, the Air Force is advancing the now familiar Bush-era idea that the only
effective defense is a dominating offense. According
to Lani Kass, previously the head of the Air Force's Cyberspace Task Force
and now a special assistant to the Air Force Chief of Staff, "If you're defending
in cyber [space], you're already too late. Cyber delivers on the original promise
of air power. If you don't dominate in cyber, you cannot dominate in other domains."
Such logic is commonplace in today's Air Force (as it has been for Bush administration
foreign policy). A threat is identified, our vulnerability to it is trumpeted,
and then our response is to spend tens of billions of dollars launching a quest
for total domination. Thus, on May 12th of this year, the Air Force Research
Laboratory posted an official "request for proposal" seeking contractor bids
to begin the push to achieve "dominant cyber offensive engagement." The desired
capabilities constitute
a disturbing militarization of cyberspace:
"Of interest are any and all techniques to enable user and/or root access
to both fixed (PC) or mobile computing platforms. Robust methodologies to enable
access to any and all operating systems, patch levels, applications and hardware.
[T]echnology to maintain an active presence within the adversaries' information
infrastructure completely undetected. [A]ny and all techniques to enable stealth
and persistence capabilities. [C]apability to stealthily exfiltrate information
from any remotely-located open or closed computer information systems."
Stealthily infiltrating, stealing, and exfiltrating: Sounds like cyber-cat
burglars, or perhaps invisible cyber-SEALS, as in that U.S. Navy "empty
beach at night" commercial. This is consistent with an Air Force-sponsored
concept paper on "network-centric
warfare," which posits the deployment of so-called "cyber-craft" in cyberspace
to "disable terminals, nodes or the entire network as well as send commands
to 'fry' their hard drives." Somebody clever with acronyms came up with D5,
an all-encompassing term that embraces the ability to deceive, deny,
disrupt, degrade, and destroy an enemy's computer information
systems.
No one, it seems, is the least bit worried that a single-minded pursuit of
cyber-"destruction" analogous to that "crush, kill, destroy" android
on the 1960s TV series "Lost in Space" could create a new arena for that
old Cold War nuclear acronym MAD (mutually assured destruction), as America's
enemies and rivals seek to D5 our terminals, nodes, and networks.
Here's another less-than-comforting thought: America's new Cyber Force will
most likely be widely distributed in basing terms. In fact, the Air Force prefers
a "headquarters"
spread across several bases here in the U.S., thereby cleverly tapping the political
support of more than a few members of Congress.
Finally, if, after all this talk of the need for "information dominance" and
the five D's, you still remain skeptical, the Air Force has prepared an online
"What Do You Think?" survey
and quiz (paid for, again, by you, the taxpayer, of course) to silence naysayers
and cyberspace appeasers. It will disabuse you of the notion that the Internet
is a somewhat benign realm where cooperation of all sorts, including the international
sort, is possible. You'll learn, instead, that we face nothing but ceaseless
hostility from cyber-thugs seeking to terrorize all of us everywhere all the
time.
Of Ugly Babies, Icebergs, and Air Force Computer Systems
Computers and their various networks are unquestionably vital to our national
defense indeed, to our very way of life and we do need to be able
to protect them from cyber attacks. In addition, striking at an enemy's ability
to command and control its forces has always been part of warfare. But spending
$6 billion a year for five years on a mini-Manhattan Project to atomize our
opponents' computer networks is an escalatory boondoggle of the worst sort.
Leaving aside the striking potential for the abuse of privacy, or the potentially
destabilizing responses of rivals to such aggressive online plans, the Air Force's
militarization of cyberspace is likely to yield uncertain technical benefits
at inflated prices, if my experience working on two big Air Force computer projects
counts for anything. Admittedly, that experience is a bit dated, but keep in
mind that the wheels of procurement reform at the Department of Defense (DoD)
do turn slowly, when they turn at all.
Two decades ago, while I was at the Space Surveillance Center in Cheyenne
Mountain, the Air Force awarded a contract to update our computer system.
The new system, known as SPADOC 4, was, as one Air Force tester put it, the
"ugly baby." Years later, and no prettier, the baby finally came on-line, part
of a Cheyenne Mountain upgrade that was hundreds of millions of dollars over
budget. One Air Force captain described
it in the following way:
"The SPADOC system was designed very poorly in terms of its human machine
interface [leading to] a lot of work arounds that make learning the system difficult.
[Fortunately,] people are adaptable and they can learn to operate a poorly designed
machine, like SPADOC, [but the result is] increased training time, increased
stress for the operators, increased human errors under stress and unused machine
capabilities."
My second experience came a decade ago, when I worked on the
Air Force Mission Support System or AFMSS. The idea was to enable pilots
to plan their missions using the latest tools of technology, rather than paper
charts, rulers, and calculators. A sound idea, but again botched in execution.
The Air Force tried to design a mission planner for every platform and mission,
from tankers to bombers. To meet such disparate needs took time, money, and
massive computing power, so the Air Force went with Unix-based SPARC platforms,
which occupied a small room. The software itself was difficult to learn, even
counter-intuitive. While the Air Force struggled, year after year, to get AFMSS
to work, competitors came along with PC-based flight planners, which provided
80% of AFMSS's functionality at a fraction of the cost. Naturally, pilots began
clamoring for the portable, easy-to-learn PC system.
Fundamentally, the whole DoD procurement cycle had gone wrong and there
lies a lesson for the present cyber-moment. The Pentagon is fairly good at producing
decent ships, tanks, and planes (never mind the typical cost overruns, the gold-plating,
and so on). After all, an advanced ship or tank, even deployed a few years late,
is normally still an effective weapon. But a computer system a few years late?
That's a paperweight or a doorstop. That's your basic disaster. Hence the push
for the DoD to rely, whenever possible, on COTS, or commercial-off-the-shelf,
software and hardware.
Don't get me wrong: I'm not saying it's only the Pentagon that has trouble
designing, acquiring, and fielding new computer systems. Think of it as a problem
of large, by-the-book bureaucracies. Just look at the
FBI's computer debacle attempting (for years) to install new systems that
failed disastrously, or for that matter the ever more imperial Microsoft's struggles
with Vista.
Judging by my past experience with large-scale Air Force computer projects,
that $30 billion will turn out to be just the tip of the cyber-war procurement
iceberg and, while you're at it, call those "five years" of development 10.
Shackled to a multi-year procurement cycle of great regulatory rigidity and
complexity, the Air Force is likely to struggle but fail to keep up with the
far more flexible and creative cyber world, which almost daily sees the fielding
of new machines and applications.
Loving Big "Cyber" Brother
Our military is the ultimate centralized, bureaucratic, hierarchical organization.
Its tolerance for errors and risky or "deviant" behavior is low. Its culture
is designed to foster obedience, loyalty, regularity, and predictability, all
usually necessary in handling frantic life-or-death combat situations. It is
difficult to imagine a culture more antithetical to the world of computer developers,
programmers, and hackers.
So expect a culture clash in militarized cyberspace and more taxpayers'
money wasted as the Internet and the civilian computing world continue
to outpace anything the DoD can muster. If, however, the Air Force should somehow
manage to defy the odds and succeed, the future might be even scarier.
After all, do we really want the military to dominate cyberspace? Let's say
we answer "yes" because we love our big "Above All" cyber brother. Now, imagine
you're Chinese or Indian or Russian. Would you really cede total cyber dominance
to the United States without a fight? Not likely. You would simply launch
or intensify your own cyber war efforts.
Interestingly, a few people have surmised that the Air Force's cyber war plans
are so outlandish they must be bluster a sort of warning shot to competitors
not to dare risk a cyber attack on the U.S., because they'd then face cyber
obliteration.
Yet it's more likely that the Air Force is quite sincere in promoting its
$30 billion "mini-Manhattan" cyber-war project. It has its own private reasons
for attempting to expand into a new realm (and so create new budget authority
as well). After all, as a service, it's been somewhat marginalized in the War
on Terror. Today's Air Force is in a flat spin, its new planes so expensive
that relatively few can be purchased, its pilots increasingly diverted to "fly"
Predators and Reapers unmanned aerial vehicles its top command
eager to ward off the threat of future irrelevancy.
But even in cyberspace, irrelevancy may prove the name of the game. Judging
by the results of previous U.S. military-run computer projects, future Air Force
"cyber-craft" may prove more than a day late and billions of dollars short.
William J. Astore, a retired lieutenant colonel (USAF), has taught at the
Air Force Academy and the Naval Postgraduate School. He currently teaches at
the Pennsylvania College of Technology. A regular contributor to Tomdispatch,
he is the author of Hindenburg: Icon of German Militarism (Potomac, 2005).
His email is wastore@pct.edu.
Copyright 2008 William J. Astore