Aleksandr
Fursenko and Timothy Naftali, Khrushchev's
Cold War (New York: Norton paperback, 2007), 670 pp.
Überhawks carelessly toss around the
Hitler comparison – Ho Chi Minh was Hitler. Slobodan Milosevic was Hitler. Saddam
Hussein was Hitler. Now Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is Hitler.
Yet
it is nonsense to compare the leaders of small, poor, and underdeveloped Third
World states to the dictator of the most populous, industrialized, and militarized
state in the center of Europe. The argument that the U.S. is threatened with
extinction by and running out of time to save the world from Iran would, in
normal times, be a second-rate comedy routine at a third-rate nightclub. But
this claim passes as sophisticated analysis from ivory tower neocons today.
There was a time when the U.S. really did face a serious military threat:
the Soviet Union in the Cold War. Moscow was more cautious than aggressive,
but it possessed the means to destroy America. Of course, the U.S.S.R. also
would have been vaporized in any nuclear exchange. Foreign policy decisions
all around really mattered then. Joseph Stalin wasn't Hitler. Stalin was Stalin,
a monster who had murdered more people over more time than had Hitler.
But who was Nikita Khrushchev, Stalin's eventual successor? Aleksandr Fursenko
and Timothy Naftali help answer that question in Khrushchev's Cold War.
Khrushchev was sui generis, neither Hitler nor Stalin.
Sadly, American officials never understood him. Khrushchev was a clever
peasant, dedicated to strengthening his nation's economy and world position.
He could terrorize along with the worst of Stalin's lieutenants, but played
a lead role in ending Stalinism after the mass murderer's death. And Khrushchev
wanted peace, not war.
Explain Fursenko and Naftali:
"Unwrapped and declassified, the Khrushchev who emerges was the most
provocative, the most daring, and, ironically, the most desirous of a lasting
agreement with the American people of any man or woman in the Kremlin. He
also was no less cruel or ideological than the other Kremlin leaders who
had survived Stalin. Had this complex personality led a small country, his
idiosyncracies would be worthy of some story telling, but they would hardly
be seen as major factors in understanding the course of world events. But
Khrushchev stood at the pinnacle of the most powerful adversary ever faced
by the United States."
The book begins with Khrushchev's rise to preeminence. Stalin died in March
1953. In fewer than three months the members of the ruling Presidium (most recently
called the Politburo) arrested and executed Lavrenti Beria, the KGB chief whom
they feared was preparing to purge them. Within two years Khrushchev had pushed
aside Premier Georgi Malenkov and Foreign Minister Vyacheslav Molotov to become
the dominant Soviet leader. Observe the authors, "Through this backroom maneuvering
Nikita Khrushchev made himself the most powerful man in a vast and troubled
empire."
From then on, until Khrushchev's fall from power in October 1963, Soviet
policy bore his unmistakable imprint. The descriptions of Soviet decision-making,
and particularly its relationship to and impact on American policy, make for
a fascinating – if at times frightening – read. On several occasions, most notably
the Cuban missile crisis, one U.S. or Soviet misstep could have led to catastrophe.
The Western allies misunderstood Khrushchev from the start. They assumed
he was likely to chill the Cold War. But he outmaneuvered Molotov, the true
hard-liner, and withdrew Soviet troops from Austria. Khrushchev also wanted
to improve relations with Yugoslavia's Josef Broz Tito. Perhaps most significantly,
Khrushchev engineered Presidium approval of a strategy of "peaceful coexistence"
with the West.
Of course, the mistaken assumptions were mutual. Khrushchev believed that
a secret cabal of militarists was controlling U.S. policy. Moreover, Khrushchev's
preference for a civil relationship with America did not automatically make
forging such a relationship easy.
He sought to prevent West Germany's accession to NATO and for years pressed
the allies to abandon Berlin. He refused to accept the Eisenhower administration's
proposal for an "open skies" policy of mutual surveillance, which led to the
downing of the U-2 spy plane and near rupture in relations between Washington
and Moscow. Moreover, after relaxing the U.S.S.R.'s control over Eastern Europe,
Khrushchev reversed course and bloodily suppressed rebellious Hungary. In other
regions he assiduously worked to enhance Soviet influence at American expense,
gaining in Egypt, Iraq, and Southeast Asia, for instance.
But Khrushchev found his allies, such as Egypt's Gamal Abdel Nasser, to
be as difficult as America found its friends to be. Placing nuclear missiles
in Cuba was Khrushchev's most dangerous gambit. The course of that conflict
is well-known, but it loses none of its suspense in the retelling.
Perhaps the book's most interesting insight is that while Khrushchev seemed
to act precipitously and recklessly, he did so consciously – out of weakness,
not strength. It was so when he worked to block the British, French, and Israeli
invasion of Egypt in 1956. Explain Fursenko and Naftali, "Without any real military
options, Khrushchev believed he had no choice but to exploit Western fears of
Soviet nuclear capabilities. Nuclear bluff was risky, but Khrushchev was now
determined to rescue Nasser."
Moscow played the same game in the aftermath of the 1958 coup in Iraq.
The Soviets blustered to forestall Western military intervention. Write Fursenko
and Naftali: "All [Presidium members] were acting out of the belief that the
only way to protect Soviet interests in the Middle East was to threaten a war
that neither side wanted."
Although President Dwight Eisenhower often discounted Khrushchev's threats,
U.S. and allied restraint – such as when Washington forced an end to the Egyptian
invasion – was interpreted by Khrushchev as evidence that his game of geopolitical
chicken worked. According to Fursenko and Naftali, "Besides vindicating the
risky policy that Khrushchev had been advocating in the Middle East since 1955,
Nasser's survival demonstrated the utility of the nuclear bluff for the weaker
superpower in international politics. Now it seemed to Khrushchev that he had
found in the nuclear bluff an effective way to weaken Soviet adversaries on
the cheap." Khrushchev made the same assessment of the confrontation over Iraq.
Despite the Soviet Union's manifest weakness, the Moscow leadership decided
to box above their country's weight, so to speak.
Indeed, Khrushchev made confrontation his official policy. Write Fursenko
and Naftali:
"On January 8, 1962, in a speech that remained secret for over forty
years, Nikita S. Khrushchev announced to his colleagues in the Kremlin that
the Soviet position in the superpower struggle was so weak that Moscow had
no choice but to try to set the pace of international politics. 'We should
increase the pressure, we must not doze off and, while growing, we should
let the opponent feel this growth.' He adopted the metaphor of a wineglass
that was filled to the rim, forming a meniscus, to describe a world where
political tensions everywhere were brought to the edge of military confrontation."
But only to the edge. Khrushchev did not want war. In fact, for a time
he cut military outlays to free up resources for the civilian economy. Of the
period 1959 to 1960, observe Fursenko and Naftali, "Only with the release of
the Kremlin leadership documents is it now possible to understand the extent
to which Khrushchev tried to create an opportunity for reducing the level of
international danger and limiting the enormous economic burdens of defense budgets.
Not until Mikhail Gorbachev would a Soviet leader again initiate as bold an
effort to end the Cold War." Even the Cuban missile crisis was seen by Khrushchev
as a means to force the allies to come to terms in Central Europe, and particularly
Berlin.
This period yields many a fascinating story. For instance, Khrushchev admitted
to his colleagues that his nation was far behind the U.S.; he mused about following
America's example of the 22nd Amendment and setting term limits for Soviet officials.
Economic failure belied his promise to catch up with America. Disputes over
Berlin, Congo, Cuba, and Laos created constant, unpredictable confrontations.
And then there was the Cuban missile crisis.
Ultimately, Khrushchev's reform program foundered on all counts. Disappointed
in his failure to reach an accommodation with the West, he eventually revived
repression and reemphasized the military, trends intensified by his successors.
Unlike Stalin, however, Khrushchev's power never was absolute. He sometimes
faced opposition within the Presidium, which on occasion rebuffed his proposals.
Indeed, in 1957 a majority on the Presidium voted to remove him, but he relied
on the military and orchestrated a meeting of the Communist Party Central Committee,
which supported him. In 1963 the conspirators, led by his own appointee, Leonid
Brezhnev, enlisted the military and relieved him as General Secretary. He accepted
the decision with surprising equanimity. Thus ended the tenure of the most colorful
Soviet leader.
A number of important, if prosaic, lessons shine through the Khrushchev
experience five decades later. Ignorance about one's adversaries leads to counterproductive,
even disastrous, policies. Relying on one's prejudices yields negative results.
If a policy looks stupid – such as sending a spy plane over an opposing power
in advance of a summit meeting with that country's leader – it probably is stupid.
Viewing everything everywhere as a vital interest risks war over trivia. And
most fundamental: Few geopolitical objectives warrant taking the world to the
brink of nuclear war.
Khrushchev's Cold War makes for an enjoyable historical journey,
enlightening readers about a critical period of U.S.-Soviet relations. The book
also poses a fascinating "what if." Another two decades would pass
before reform again entered the Kremlin lexicon, and the result then was the
end not only of the Cold War, but the Soviet Union. Had Khrushchev survived
in power, would international communism have ended sooner?
Write Fursenko and Naftali:
"Ironically, Khrushchev disappeared just as he had decided to abandon
pressure tactics altogether for patient diplomacy. Mikoyan's lament in those
final hours of Khrushchev's leadership that he was being forced out when
he was finally good at foreign policy suggests that had he been given time,
Khrushchev might have come closer to achieving his wider goal of demilitarizing
the Cold War. His successors accelerated the Soviet defense buildup to prevent
a humiliation like the Cuban missile crisis from ever happening again."
Maybe he would have succeeded. Or maybe, as Fursenko and Naftali observe,
a new incident would have triggered another confrontation and crisis. Despite
his brutality, Khrushchev left a legacy filled with lost opportunities. It took
another generation for a more humane and daring communist leader to complete
the reform process begun by Khrushchev.