NEW INTEREST GROUP
politics is on the cusp of a breathtaking change, when a new
and dominant interest group emerges, the English. This will
be driven by both the economic forces listed above as well as
by strong cultural pressures. This electoral dominance will
not be weakened by Proportional Representation, as the left's
problem will not be a split vote but a loss of votes. Similarly,
any regionalisation or democratisation in Europe will only strengthen
the resentment against the marginalisation of England. For a
time British politics will not be dominated by economic class,
but by identity.
CAN THE LEFT DO?
left seems to be in a quandary. By adopting the right wing economic
agenda, they have now focused politics on identity, which in
the short term is indeed benefiting them. However, in the long
term it is suicide. In a democracy, power eventually goes to
the majority. A party whose electoral base are ethnic minorities,
Celts, government employees and multinational executives will
simply wither. The Labour Party needs its working class vote.
The left will have to focus again on the actual needs of the
working class, as it is only if they think of themselves as
working class that Labour stands a chance of capturing their
votes. The outlook is not promising on that front as the vast
majority of Labour MPs come from an almost identical social
background as their conservative counterparts and the unions
are now too large to be anything other than unrepresentative
bureaucracies. The approach of small quasi-Trotskyite sects
like Red Action, who
are actually organising the working class rather than preaching
to it, are on the right lines but are too piecemeal for anything
to be done. For the moment, the left does not see the necessity
of representing its working class voters' less liberal social
views. Doubtless, it will, in the long term.
do not believe that this means that the Tories will win the
next election, but it means that they will win quite a few after
that. The Labour party will take a while to re-orient itself
to its working class voters. Two of the issues above, Europe
and devolution, are essentially political and will at some time
be sorted out to English satisfaction, and immigration will
stop being such an irritant when the children of immigrants
start regarding themselves as English. In the meantime the country
will go through a collective shudder comparable to the Northern
awakening in the United States in the 1850s, when the Republicans
crafted an electoral majority that broke the Southern hold on
the federal government.
purpose of writing this column is to look at British foreign
policy, and ask where that leaves it. To be honest I'm not sure.
There will certainly be a move away from Europe, but little
else is clear. Will Britain (or England) continue being an American
paw? If she doesn't, will the independent Britain look into
herself, or will she decide to act an imperial part in keeping
with her pugnacious national identity? We just can't tell.
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