CARACAS - Venezuela
has begun to train popular defense units to help defend the country in the event
of war, although not all of the volunteers will receive weapons training.
"Not all of the members of the reserves will be armed," said General
Melvin López, secretary of the National Defense Council. "Each person
will play their own role: doctors, nurses, journalists. This is a question of
knowing who to contact in case of danger, but not everyone would actually carry
a rifle."
The aim is to organize the population to respond in the event of "external
aggression," and for potential aggressor states to be aware, prior to staging
an attack, that "we have trained reserves, ready to fulfill their duty.
The idea is to have a dissuasive effect," López added.
Although President Hugo Chávez, who is himself a retired lieutenant-colonel,
said the reservists "could eventually number up to two million" in
this country of 25 million people, some military experts say this is an overly
ambitious goal.
General Raúl Salazar, who served as minister of defense during the president's
first year in office, in 1999, but who is now staunchly anti-Chávez,
said that creating "such a huge reserve is simply an impossible mission."
Chávez named former armed forces commander General Julio Quintero to
head the gradual preparation of the civilian reserves, which form part of "a
new Venezuelan military doctrine," as the president told hundreds of armed
forces officers at a military forum on "fourth-generation weapons."
The country's regular army, navy, air force, and national guard troops total
82,000, according to the London-based International Institute for Strategic
Studies (IISS).
Up to now, reservists have been drawn from the young men and women who have
volunteered for military service, which has not been obligatory for the past
two decades, although all young men and women must register with the armed forces
at the age of 18, which means they can, in theory at least, be called up for
service.
In the past 20 years, an average of 20,000 youngsters annually have signed
up for 18 months of military service. Most of them come from lower-income sectors,
who see the armed forces as an opportunity to learn a trade and earn an income
that is equivalent to the national minimum monthly salary (just over $160).
But the Chávez administration and military brass now plan to organize
and train a larger corps of volunteer reservists between the ages of 18 and
50.
They are also calling for active cooperation by local businesses, under a bill
currently being debated in the legislature, that would create a new law governing
the armed forces.
The initiative has elicited concern from Washington, which has a tense relationship
with Venezuela's left-leaning president.
Chávez has accused the U.S. government of supporting the brief April
2002 coup d'etat that removed him from office for two days, and recently stated
that he had evidence that the George W. Bush administration planned to assassinate
him and trigger chaos in Venezuela, in order to stage an armed invasion of the
country.
In the escalating war of words, the U.S. government has questioned Venezuela's
decision to purchase military aircraft from Brazil and Spain, as well as helicopters
and 100,000 Kalashnikov assault rifles from Russia.
The purchase of the rifles was especially criticized by U.S. Secretary of Defense
Donald Rumsfeld and other Bush administration spokespersons.
The AK-103 rifles are to replace the Belgian-made light automatic FAL rifles
that the Venezuelan armed forces have used for half a century.
The Chávez administration, refuting allegations that it is starting
an arms race, says it is merely replacing obsolete equipment.
But a retired navy officer commented to IPS, "The question one could ask
is what will they do with the 120,000 or 150,000 FAL rifles that must be in
the country. Will they go toward arming the reservists?"
Chávez said he had ordered joint civil-military maneuvers and other
activities because "in the context of an asymmetric war, participation
by the people is indispensable in defending the country and our national sovereignty."
Asymmetric war is a military term describing warfare in which the two sides
are mismatched in their military capabilities.
The president also reiterated his warning that Washington is keen on gaining
control over the oil reserves in Venezuela, which supplies around 15 percent
of U.S. oil imports.
But the U.S. ambassador in Caracas, William Brownfield, responded in a TV interview,
"In the almost 200 years of mutual existence of our two countries
the United States has never invaded, is not invading at this moment, and will
never invade Venezuela. Period."
Retired army lieutenant Eliécer Otaiza, who heads the government institute
charged with carrying out agrarian reform, said on TV, in a personal capacity,
that "we must begin to sow hatred of the United States, because if we do
go to war it will be to shoot at, not to embrace, each other."
Shortly after Brownfield complained about Otaiza's statement, the Venezuelan
Foreign Ministry issued a declaration underlining that it is the only body authorized
to express the government's foreign policy.
Chávez also said that "Otaiza made a mistake," because "we
do not promote hatred, but love and solidarity."
The army chief, General Raúl Baduel, a student of The Art of War,
the classic work by the famous Chinese military philosopher Sun Tzu, and a self-declared
follower of the Tao Te Ching of Lao Tse, has stated that the military
must "learn to interpret the new post-Cold War strategies and threats facing
our country."
Among those threats, he included a possible regional confrontation, as an extension
of armed conflicts in neighboring countries, "under the pretext of counteracting
factors that generate violence" an allusion to the possibility of
Colombia's four-decade civil war spilling over the Venezuelan border.
The army commander also said Venezuela could face the threat of another coup,
an invasion "along the lines of the coalitions that have intervened in
other parts of the world under the mandate of the OAS [Organization of American
States] or the United Nations," or "a fourth-generation war."
In "fourth generation
wars," one of the major participants is not a state. These conflicts
are characterized by a blurring of the borders between soldier and civilians,
or peace and conflict.
Analyst Alberto Garrido explained to IPS the previous three generations of
war, as defined since the 17th century. The first involved a strong military
hierarchy, and fighting based on battles between troops organized in columns;
the second was based on massive fire on enemy targets, including bombing; and
the third involved the disintegration of enemy lines, the scattering of armies,
and general confusion.
Third generation war is similar to fourth generation warfare, but all of the
participants are states.
"Talking about the possibility of an asymmetric war, as Chávez
and the military brass have been doing, implies a recognition that the country's
defensive forces will not all depend on the army, because the accepted definitions
of fourth-generation and asymmetric war imply non-state opponents fighting a
country's army," said Garrido.
Retired general Alberto Müller, a Chávez supporter, told IPS that
the government is "not inventing anything new, because Venezuela's constitutions
have provided for reserves since 1810, and citizen reserves exist in capitalist
states, like Switzerland."
But Chávez's political opponents argue that the new militias will be
used for internal control of dissidence and opposition protests.
"With hundreds of thousands of armed militant Chavistas, what kind of
democracy and free elections can exist in Venezuela?" remarked Leopoldo
Puchi, the head of the Movement to Socialism, a small moderate-left opposition
party.
"Creating a parallel armed force is disrespectful of the military charter
and is an aberration," complained the Institutional Military Front, a group
of retired military officers opposed to Chávez. "Arming thousands
and thousands of government supporters prompts us to sound the alert on the
risk of a civil war."
(Inter Press Service)