For the many, many foreign policy experts who
have reached an advanced state of despair over the ever-plunging image and influence
of the United States after nearly six years of the presidency of George W. Bush,
the name James Baker III has an almost talismanic quality.
"Maybe if he [Bush] asks Baker to
" has become an increasingly
common and hopeful preamble among the policy elite to sentences
about whatever crisis is dominating the news that week, be it Iraq, Iran, Syria,
and the Middle East generally, or, most recently, North Korea.
The assumption behind such musings is always that the former secretary of state
who, unlike other top members of the administration of President George
H. W. Bush, notably former national security adviser Gen. Brent Scowcroft, has
been very careful not to publicly criticize the younger Bush is virtually
the only person with the stature and diplomatic finesse to rescue crisis situations
that have only gone from bad to worse if, that is, the White House asks
him to do so.
Whether it has asked or may yet do so is a matter of much hopeful speculation
among policy analysts here ranging from traditional Republican conservatives,
such as Sen. Chuck Hagel, to liberal internationalist Democrats, such as former
President Jimmy Carter, who called Wednesday for Bush to appoint Baker a special
envoy for North Korea.
The fact that some hard-line neoconservatives close to Vice President Dick
Cheney see in Baker's sudden prominence a harbinger of "active appeasement"
by the administration of U.S. foes in the Middle East suggests that the speculation
may be more than mere wishful thinking.
Indeed, Baker these days is being put forward as a kind of Messiah whose pragmatic
and classically "realist" approach to foreign policy offers the only
available antidote to the grim Manichaeism of the administration's hawks, led
by the presumed Antichrist, Vice President Dick Cheney. Despite having lost
his dominant influence over policymaking in the last two years or so, Cheney
retains enough clout with the president to effectively stymie efforts by Secretary
of State Condoleezza Rice to pursue a more flexible diplomacy, especially in
regard to perceived U.S. foes.
It was Cheney who, in reaction to State Department suggestions three years
ago that Washington pursue direct talks with North Korea over its nuclear weapons
program, reportedly told his National Security Council colleagues, "We
don't negotiate with evil; we defeat it" a phrase that, in light
of Pyongyang's nuclear test Monday, is unlikely to reassure anyone in Northeast
Cheney's proscription against direct negotiations with "evil" has,
of course, been applied not only to North Korea, but to several other "evil"
entities as well.
Thus, Washington, even despite quiet requests by Israel during its war with
Hezbollah last summer, has refused to talk with Syria since Damascus was implicated
in the 2005 assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri. It
spurned an unprecedented 2003 offer by Iran for sweeping and unconditional negotiations
and repeatedly rebuffed various approaches by Tehran since. And it has rejected
all contacts with the democratically elected Hamas government in the Palestinian
Contrast that attitude with Baker's who, in a much-quoted ABC News interview
last Sunday, declared flatly, "I believe in talking to your enemies. I
don't think you restrict your conversations to your friends.
view, it's not appeasement to talk to your enemies."
Lest anyone misunderstood, he went on to note that he made 15 trips to Damascus
to secure its participation in the U.S.-led Gulf War and in subsequent negotiations
in 1991, despite the fact that Syria was on the State Department's list of state
sponsors of terrorism at the time.
Baker's new prominence is a result of his selection last spring to serve as
co-chairman, along with former Democratic Rep. Lee Hamilton, of a bipartisan,
congressionally-appointed Iraq Study Group, which plans to submit specific policy
recommendations to Congress some time between the November midterm elections
and next spring.
It will also hand over its report to the White House, which, after some hesitation,
endorsed the ISG's creation. Baker has said he would not have agreed to chair
the group without first gaining Bush's approval.
Baker, who served as White House chief of staff and treasury secretary under
former President Ronald Reagan, has been on a national tour to promote his memoirs.
The tour has featured appearances on national television programs, including
even Comedy Central's popular Daily Show With John Stewart, where he
has spoken out with unusual candor.
In his ABC interview, for example, he said he expected the ISG to conclude
that "stay[ing] the course" in Iraq, as advocated by Bush, was not
a viable option and urged that Washington enter into direct talks with North
Korea (although, in the wake of Monday's test, he has backed off that position),
Syria, and Iran.
Indeed, as co-chair of the ISG, Baker met with Syrian Foreign Minister Walid
al-Muallem in New York City on Sept. 20 and with a "high representative"
of the Iranian government within the last two weeks, according to his Houston
law office, which declined to provide further details.
Those meetings which were cleared by the White House would naturally
be relevant to the ISG's specific mandate to devise a bipartisan strategy on
Iraq. Baker and the ISG, on which Baker has imposed a strict gag order, have
also met with senior envoys from Iraq's other neighbors, including Saudi Arabia,
Jordan, Turkey, and Kuwait, with which Washington has close relations.
Nonetheless, the meetings with the Iranian and Syrian officials raise the question
of whether Baker was authorized to raise additional issues on his own that went
beyond the ISG's mandate and that may have been of interest to the administration.
Asked by IPS about that possibility at an ISG press briefing last month, Baker
said he would not comment.
But the fact that Baker has felt increasingly free to make public remarks that
are at least implicitly critical of the administration's policies, particularly
its refusal to engage directly with its "enemies," suggests a certain
confidence in his position.
In a front-page article about the ISG Monday, the New York Times reported
that Baker "has been talking to President Bush and his national security
adviser, Stephen J. Hadley, on a regular basis."
"Baker is no fool," wrote hard-line neoconservative Michael Ledeen,
who suggested that Baker's maneuvering is part of a State Department scheme
to "engage" the Iranians, in particular. "He would not be making
unless he were confident of consensus
Baker, who has served the Bush family as its chief consiglieri since the 1970s
and headed the legal team that successfully defeated Democratic challenges to
the younger Bush's victory in Florida in the 2000 election, has held only one
official position under the administration. From late 2003 through 2004, he
negotiated substantial reductions in Iraq's foreign debt on behalf of the White
(Inter Press Service)