We had a breather during the final stretch of
the presidential election campaign, but the way is now cleared for a renewal
of the propaganda
campaign urging war with Iran. The latest salvo: a UN report claiming Iran
plans on building 3,000 new centrifuges, and headlines are screaming
– in the West, at any rate – that Iran will have enough uranium to build a nuclear
bomb by sometime next year. Is this true?
Undoubtedly not. To begin with, let’s go through the news accounts: here’s
a typical one, a Reuters dispatch, which reports a "stand off" between
Tehran and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), run by the UN, which
monitors nuclear activities of member states. To the ordinary person just glancing
at the headline, the assumption is that the "stand off" is over Iran’s
unwillingness to keep its nuclear facilities open to inspection. Not so. Yet
Reuters reports:
"An inquiry by the UN nuclear watchdog into alleged atom bomb research
by Iran has degenerated into a silent standoff a few months after Tehran asserted
‘the matter is over’, UN officials said on Wednesday."
If your eyes glaze over at this point, and you don’t get much further than
the lede, then the story seems to be describing Iranian nuclear research that
will inevitably result in the production of a weapon. Reuters cites a whiny
UN official, who complains: "We had gridlock before but until September
at least we were talking to each other. Now it's worse. There is no communication
whatsoever, no progress regarding possible military dimensions in their program."
It isn’t until several paragraphs later that it becomes apparent to the casual
reader that the program he’s talking about ended in 2003:
"The report said that unless Iran produced credible evidence for its
denials that it tried to ‘weaponise’ nuclear materials, or permitted inspections
beyond declared atomic sites, the IAEA could not verify Iran's enrichment was
wholly peaceful."
Remember
last year, when the CIA issued its definitive assessment of the alleged Iranian
nuclear threat? It declared with "high confidence" that Tehran had ceased its
military research program four years previously. According to the CIA, all those
diagrams and dicey computer disks that somehow showed up in the hands of the
Mujahideen-e-Khalq
(MEK), and were pushed by the War Party as evidence of Iran's perfidy, detailed
a program that hadn't been functional for years. (At any rate, those documents
turned out to be forgeries.)
In any case, the West, acting through the UN, turned this into yet another
pretext for confrontation with the Iranians. Their reaction
to this revelation was: Aha! So the program was ended – now turn over
the documents verifying this, and confess your guilt! This demand, combined
with the suspicions hanging over the stepped-up enrichment activities, is the
new vise in which the Iranians are being squeezed – first, with the threat of
sanctions,
and later on, with the threat of war.
Drudge on Thursday featured a Jerusalem Post commentary
that made the case for war in plain and simple terms: the author
acknowledges that the "enriched" uranium in the Iranians’ possession is low-grade,
and in its present form can only do what the Iranians have been saying
all along they intend to do, which is fuel nuclear power plants to generate
electricity. In order to produce weapons grade material, they would have
to make some very visible changes to their known facilities. "This would make
it very difficult for Iran to hide from the IAEA inspectors," the Jerusalem
Post admits, but there’s a catch (isn’t there always?):
"Unless, that is, there are secret facilities where the low enriched
uranium is purified, away from the eyes and knowledge of the IAEA. And this
is very possible."
Of course, anything
is possible – except, perhaps, that the Israel lobby will cease its relentless
agitation for war. One thing about secret facilities, however, is that no one
knows where they are. Oddly, the next question isn’t where are these "secret"
nuclear sites, but "where do we go from here?" The author, one Meir
Javedanfar, knows just where he wants to go with this:
"One can not also help but notice that such reports help those who
want a military solution. This may not be around the corner; however, it is
there. Even when Obama enters office.
"Many have accused the Democrats of being too timid and too compromising.
That's not true. The difference with them is that they are likely to give negotiations
a serious chance, before reaching out for their guns. And if they do, they won't
do it alone. Just ask Slobodan Milosevic."
He’s right. And never mind Milosevic – just get out your ouija board and consult
the departed spirit of Saddam
Hussein. It was, after all, a Democratic president, Bill Clinton, who pushed
the Iraq Liberation
Act through Congress,
funded Chalabi,
and started the process that ended in what the late General William
E. Odom trenchantly described
as the worst strategic disaster in American military history. Now the same pattern
is taking hold in regard to Iran. The pressure on President Obama to humble
Iran, and prove his "toughness," is going to be enormous, and one indication
is that the War Party’s propaganda blitz, which should be reaching a crescendo
by Inauguration Day, has already started in earnest.
With Hillary
Clinton as Obama’s secretary
of state, and a
bevy of war hawks ensconced in key national security posts – just like the
neocons in the Bush administration – the War Party will be well-represented
in the foreign policy councils of the new administration. It looks like we’re
in for a long, agonizingly drawn out drama, which may very well end the same
way the last one
did.
There’s just one way to preempt this and that is to show, early on, that the
voters who gave Obama his victory won’t stand for this kind of betrayal. We
don’t want another war – and that means we have to stop Hillary,
the War Party’s chief Democratic asset,
before she’s officially designated the new Secretary of State. If thousands
(upon thousands!) of Americans protest, who knows but maybe we can stop it.
Yes we can!
So call the transition office,
if you haven’t already, and say: No Hillary, no way, no how!
Call: 202-540-3000 or use their web
form.
NOTES IN THE MARGIN
I’m watching Chris Matthews wonder why all this
drama over Hillary’s appointment, and her husband’s extended negotiations with
the Obama transition team, is taking place in full public view, on the front
page of the New York Times. And why, he wonders, is it taking so long,
given that the offer is real and Hillary wants it? Are they just working out
the details of her husband’s Byzantine finances, or can it be that our Stop
Hillary campaign – started
at the beginning of this week – is having some effect, and they’ve been getting
a lot of protest calls at the transition
office?
C’mon, you people: call! Tell them it’s a little too early for Obama to start
reneging on his campaign promises. The guy hasn’t even taken office yet, and
already we’re talking about a revolution betrayed. There’s just one way to stop
the War Party from taking over this administration, just like they did the last
one.
Call: 202-540-3000.
Stop Hillary!