with Ali Al-Fadhily
BAGHDAD - More US troops are expected to be deployed in Iraq in the New Year.
Despite obvious rethinking, there is no decision on withdrawal of occupation
The presence of troops may be raised just for their own protection. According
to a Pentagon report, US and Iraqi forces are facing close to 1,000 attacks
a week now. US forces comprise more than 90 percent of the "coalition
of the willing" in Iraq.
According to the White House, 49 countries joined that coalition at the time
of the US -led invasion in March 2003. That number has shrunk to 32, after
countries like Italy and Canada withdrew troops this year.
Britain is expected to withdraw its 7,500 troops next year, after pulling out
1,300 earlier this year.
Whatever the numbers, the vital question is whether US troops will continue
to do next year what they have been doing this year.
Under the increasing number of attacks and the escalating chaos, it has apparently
become US military policy to bulldoze or bomb houses whenever attacks are
launched on their patrols. This is particularly the case in places like Fallujah,
Samarra, Siniya, Ramadi and other Sunni dominated areas. Sectarian conflict
has roared between Shi'ites and Sunnis, who follow different beliefs within Islam.
This year has shown how the US military is dealing with sectarian violence.
While it carried out collective punishment in cities like Fallujah and Ramadi,
it has ignored Shi'ite death squads. Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki leads a Shi'ite-dominated
Many Sunnis believe the US military has long been favoring Shi'ite politicians
and their militias.
"They are just pretending they are concerned about sectarian war, and
they are trying to convince the world that they are dealing with it seriously,"
Yassir Mahmood of the Beji city council told IPS. Beji is located 200 km north
of Baghdad in an oil-rich area where attacks on US troops are commonplace.
Sunnis are concerned how far US forces will take that tilt next year. "They
(the US military) lifted their checkpoints around Sadr City in Baghdad saying
it was ordered by Maliki," Mahmood said. "Yet, when it comes to our
Sunni areas they increased killing of innocent civilians."
Most of the victims of death squads are Sunnis, whose bodies are found on the
streets of Baghdad every day. Many bodies show signs of torture, particularly
holes drilled into them, and wounds and deformation caused by acid.
US forces ignore such killings, and carry out their own, in moves to crush
Sunni resistance. And they are looking for reinforcements to carry out this
job. Since the middle of December, the Bush Administration has been discussing
sending an additional 20,000-50,000 troops to Iraq in a "temporary"
move. There are currently 141,000 US troops in Iraq, with at least 5,000 US
The US military is also reported to be considering a major offensive against
Muqtada al-Sadr, the Shi'ite cleric the US administration says is impeding the
functioning of the Iraqi government.
But under the increasing attacks, the military itself feels unsafe. US troops
are now going for fewer but larger bases in Iraq. From more than 100 bases earlier,
the US now has 54.
The bases are becoming like forts within which the US forces stay. Camp Anaconda
in Balad, just north of Baghdad, is an air base with more than 20,000 soldiers,
less than 1,000 of whom ever leave the base, according to local reports. About
250 aircraft are located at this base.
The situation in southern Iraq is also becoming difficult, with signs of fighting
between the two largest Shi'ite militias, the Badr group and Sadr's Mehdi Army.
"The Shi'ite-Shi'ite fight will be destructive," Dr. Ghassan al-Atiya,
a liberal Shi'ite in London told IPS. "With all parties armed and longing
for ruling the rich southern region of Iraq, the whole Gulf area will explode,
and a real civil war will be a certain consequence."
Through the occupation, each time the US has increased troop levels, there
has been a corresponding increase in attacks on the forces, and consequently
an increase in civilian casualties. Or, troop levels have been increased in
response to rising attacks. By either pattern, next year could get much worse.
(Inter Press Service)