{"id":22754,"date":"2014-01-22T13:46:36","date_gmt":"2014-01-22T21:46:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/antiwar.com\/blog\/?p=22754"},"modified":"2014-01-22T14:50:40","modified_gmt":"2014-01-22T22:50:40","slug":"the-real-story-at-geneva-ii-foreign-meddling-in-syria-must-stop","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/2014\/01\/22\/the-real-story-at-geneva-ii-foreign-meddling-in-syria-must-stop\/","title":{"rendered":"The Real Story at Geneva II: Foreign Meddling in Syria &#8216;Must Stop&#8217;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-22755\" alt=\"577706-ki-moon\" src=\"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/577706-ki-moon-e1390427107412.jpg\" width=\"580\" height=\"386\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The Geneva II talks on the Syrian civil war in Switzerland started today. In the lead up to the conference, the media focus, unfortunately, had been on which parts of the Syrian opposition would attend and whether or not Iran, the Assad regime&#8217;s close ally, would attend (the U.S. pressured the UN to <em>uninvite<\/em> Iran at the last minute for not accepting the Geneva Communique).<\/p>\n<p>And today, the media focused on two developments: (1) Secretary of State John Kerry&#8217;s hardline rhetoric about the Syrian regime&#8217;s crimes and how Assad cannot be a part of any transition government, and (2) the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2014\/01\/23\/world\/middleeast\/syria.html?ref=world&amp;_r=0\">tense back-and-forth<\/a> between UN Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon and Syrian Foreign Minister\u00a0Walid al-Moualem, the latter being nothing more than a disagreement over how much time the foreign minister should have to speak.<\/p>\n<p>From where I&#8217;m sitting, the real story of the Geneva II conference was all but ignored. It was summed up by Ban Ki-Moon in a press conference following the talks when he <a href=\"http:\/\/webtv.un.org\/topics-issues\/un-secretary-general\/watch\/ban-ki-moon-and-lakhdar-brahimi-joint-press-conference-at-geneva-conference-on-syria\/3092015554001\">said<\/a>, &#8220;all of the countries who have been providing arms to either side must stop and encourage them to engage in political dialogue.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>This opinion, which Moon has repeatedly expressed, echoes that of countless other experts. Back in 2012,\u00a0UN rights chief Navi Pillay <a href=\"http:\/\/news.antiwar.com\/2012\/07\/02\/un-rights-chief-foreign-arms-to-both-sides-in-syria-feeds-additional-violence\/\">condemned<\/a>\u00a0the continued flow of weapons from foreign powers to both sides in the Syrian conflict. \u201cThe ongoing provision of arms to the Syrian government and to its opponents feeds additional violence,\u201d she said in the text of remarks made to the Security Council.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.rand.org\/blog\/2012\/06\/violence-in-syria-intensifies-as-un-plans-action-group.html\">James Dobbins, director of the\u00a0RAND<\/a>\u00a0a former US assistant secretary of state\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.npr.org\/2012\/06\/23\/155622562\/syrian-conflict-a-haunting-reminder-of-bosnia\">told NPR recently<\/a>, \u201cthe external environment in which sides are providing arms to both of the contending parties\u2014all of that suggests that the situation\u2019s going to continue to deteriorate.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>When both sides to a civil war are emboldened by their foreign benefactors, neither feels vulnerable enough to compromise. This virtually ensures perpetual stalemate.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cA continuous supply of weapons to both sides\u2014whether from Russia, Iran or the Gulf States\u2014only maintains the parties\u2019 perception that fighting is a better option than negotiating,\u201d Dr. Florence Gaub, a researcher at the NATO Defense College,\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/carnegieeurope.eu\/strategiceurope\/?fa=51019&amp;lang=en\">wrote<\/a>\u00a0at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace last year. \u201cThis explains why, in terms of statistical probability, an external supply of weapons lengthens a civil war.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The U.S. has grown more and more trepidatious about the Syrian opposition. Some rebels are getting training and weapons from the U.S., but it is by no means significant (many U.S. officials have even said an Assad victory would be better than al-Qaeda-linked rebels grabbing hold the reins of state). But U.S. allies, particularly in the Arab Gulf states, do continue to aid extremist militants in Syria. Iran and Russia, wary of U.S. (or U.S.-allied) gains in Syria, continue to fully back the Assad regime. Some political will, and a minimal amount of honesty (which we didn&#8217;t get from Kerry), could put a stop to this and help mitigate the conflict considerably.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Geneva II talks on the Syrian civil war in Switzerland started today. In the lead up to the conference, the media focus, unfortunately, had been on which parts of the Syrian opposition would attend and whether or not Iran, the Assad regime&#8217;s close ally, would attend (the U.S. pressured the UN to uninvite Iran [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":86,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-22754","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"meta_box":{"disable_donate_message":"","custom_donate_message":"","subtitle":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22754","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/86"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22754"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22754\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22759,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22754\/revisions\/22759"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22754"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22754"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22754"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=22754"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}