{"id":41600,"date":"2023-01-17T18:02:02","date_gmt":"2023-01-18T02:02:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/?p=41600"},"modified":"2023-01-17T22:37:41","modified_gmt":"2023-01-18T06:37:41","slug":"how-far-will-russian-tanks-go-into-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/2023\/01\/17\/how-far-will-russian-tanks-go-into-ukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"How Far Will Russian Tanks Go Into Ukraine?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><i>This originally appeared at <a href=\"https:\/\/raymcgovern.com\">RayMcGovern.com<\/a>.<\/i><\/p>\n<p>Ray appeared on <i><a href=\"https:\/\/rumble.com\/c\/TPC\">Tommy&#8217;s Podcast<\/a><\/i> (Thomas Harrington) January 14, 2023 on Rumble.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" title=\"Russia Might Go West | Ray McGovern (TPC #1,054)\" src=\"https:\/\/rumble.com\/embed\/v22xz7d\/?pub=4#?secret=17I0Nvk9ag\" data-secret=\"17I0Nvk9ag\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" frameborder=\"0\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>I don&#8217;t think President Putin wants to occupy all, or even most, of Ukraine. That would be the kind of really <i>stooooooped<\/i> thing Cheney\/Bush\/Rumsfeld would try to do.<\/p>\n<p>But, if the U.S. really wants to avoid war with Russia, it must realize that, barring the use of nuclear weapons, <b>Russia is not only determined to prevail but has the means to prevail<\/b>. What has gone on in Ukraine over the last nine years poses an existential threat to Russia. It will not tolerate an existential threat.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Putin is not paranoid. He has heard from US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin that:<\/p>\n<p><i>&#8220;One of the US&#8217;s goals in Ukraine is to see a weakened Russia. &#8230; The US is ready to move heaven and earth to help Ukraine win the war against Russia.&#8221;<\/i><\/p>\n<p>Russian military intelligence (like all military intelligence) must weigh CAPABILITIES, more than intentions. Can the US achieve Austin&#8217;s goal? No. Not without using nuclear weapons. President Biden says he doesn&#8217;t want to do that, because that would mean WWIII.<\/p>\n<p>Thus, there is a gapingly large conceptual disconnect. Biden and his sophomore advisers do not seem to &#8220;get it&#8221;, and this makes it exceptionally dangerous.<\/p>\n<p>Simply, the US cannot have both: &#8220;win the war against Russia&#8221; AND avoid WWIII. This has been clear for many months. The fact that the sophomores don&#8217;t &#8220;get it&#8221; puts the Russians on high alert &#8211; prepared for anything. How far west into Ukraine they will go, depends on some sanity and flexibility in Washington, of which there is not a plentiful supply.<\/p>\n<p><i>Ray McGovern works with Tell the Word, a publishing arm of the ecumenical Church of the Saviour in inner-city Washington. His 27-year career as a CIA analyst includes serving as Chief of the Soviet Foreign Policy Branch and preparer\/briefer of the President\u2019s Daily Brief. He is co-founder of Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity (VIPS).<\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This originally appeared at RayMcGovern.com. Ray appeared on Tommy&#8217;s Podcast (Thomas Harrington) January 14, 2023 on Rumble. I don&#8217;t think President Putin wants to occupy all, or even most, of Ukraine. That would be the kind of really stooooooped thing Cheney\/Bush\/Rumsfeld would try to do. But, if the U.S. really wants to avoid war with [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":64,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-41600","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"meta_box":{"disable_donate_message":"","custom_donate_message":"","subtitle":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41600","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/64"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41600"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41600\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":41608,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41600\/revisions\/41608"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41600"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41600"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41600"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=41600"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}