{"id":4335,"date":"2008-05-24T08:51:36","date_gmt":"2008-05-24T15:51:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/?p=4335"},"modified":"2008-05-24T08:52:07","modified_gmt":"2008-05-24T15:52:07","slug":"building-a-case-for-attack-on-iran%e2%80%99s-nuclear-sites","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/2008\/05\/24\/building-a-case-for-attack-on-iran%e2%80%99s-nuclear-sites\/","title":{"rendered":"Building a Case for Attack on Iran’s Nuclear Sites"},"content":{"rendered":"

Amid renewed speculation after President Bush\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s Knesset speech last week that he may yet order an attack on Iran before he leaves office, particularly if Sen. Obama should win the November elections, it appears that the Washington Institute for Near East Policy<\/a> (WINEP) is preparing the case for why an attack \u00e2\u20ac\u201d either by the U.S. or Israel \u00e2\u20ac\u201d on Tehran\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s nuclear facilities might not be as calamitous as most analysts, including top Pentagon brass, believe. WINEP, of course, was founded by the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) and has acted as an integral part of the so-called Israel Lobby since its launch.<\/p>\n

The case is previewed in an article<\/a> by Yossi Melman that appeared in the Israeli newspaper, Haaretz<\/em> Thursday. It consists mainly of an interview of WINEP\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s Patrick Clawson, co-author with another WINEP analyst, Michael Eisenstadt, of an upcoming paper entitled \u00e2\u20ac\u0153The Last Resort.\u00e2\u20ac\u009d Clawson concludes that fears about possible Iranian retaliation are exaggerated and that, in fact, \u00e2\u20ac\u0153Iran\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s options for responding are limited and weak.\u00e2\u20ac\u009d<\/p>\n

To Helena Cobban, the estimable Middle East analyst whose blog, www.justworldnews.org<\/a>, is widely read here in Washington and in the region, the paper smacks of \u00e2\u20ac\u0153cakewalk\u00e2\u20ac\u009d all over again. Cobban, who also works with the Friends Committee on National Legislation (FCNL) and who just published a new book entitled Re-Engage! America and the World After Bush<\/a><\/em>, critiques the argument here<\/a>. I would note that I received alarmed e-mail messages from three experts in the region \u00e2\u20ac\u201d one Israeli and two Arabs \u00e2\u20ac\u201d that referred me to the Haaretz article and suggested, like Cobban, that it could mark the launch of a new propaganda effort.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, Gen. David Petraeus, in his confirmation hearings Thursday, offered the latest official Pentagon view of Iran, repeating Sec. Gates\u00e2\u20ac\u2122 recent remarks about needing to gain \u00e2\u20ac\u0153leverage\u00e2\u20ac\u009d with Tehran to engage it in a serious way diplomatically. (Last year, Gates and Rice were talking about not want to engage Iran as a \u00e2\u20ac\u0153supplicant;\u00e2\u20ac\u009d this year, it\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s all about \u00e2\u20ac\u0153leverage.\u00e2\u20ac\u009d)<\/p>\n

Here\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s the view of Adm. Fallon\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s replacement of Centcom commander:<\/p>\n

\u00e2\u20ac\u0153Iran continues to be a destabilizing influence in the region. It persists in its non-transparent pursuit of nuclear technology and continues to fund, train and arm dangerous militia organizations.<\/p>\n

\u00e2\u20ac\u0153Iran\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s activities have been particularly harmful in Iraq, Lebanon, the Palestinian territories and Afghanistan. In each location, Tehran has to varying degrees fueled proxy wars, in an effort to increase its influence and pursue its regional ambitions.<\/p>\n

\u00e2\u20ac\u0153Even as we work with leaders in the region, to help protect our partners from Iranian intimidation or coercion, however, we must also explore policies that, over the long term, offer the possibility of more constructive relations, if that is possible.<\/p>\n

\u00e2\u20ac\u0153Together with regional and global partners, we need to seek ways to encourage Iran to respect the integrity of other states, to embrace non-proliferation of nuclear weapons and to contribute to regional stability rather than regional instability.\u00e2\u20ac\u009d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

That\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s from Petraeus\u00e2\u20ac\u2122 prepared testimony which must have been cleared by Adm. Mullen and Sec. Gates. In answers to questions, he expressed doubt about the usefulness of new rounds of negotiations with Tehran under current circumstances.<\/p>\n

<\/a>Visit Lobelog.com<\/a> for the latest news analysis and commentary from Inter Press News Service’s Washington bureau chief Jim Lobe.<\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Amid renewed speculation after President Bush\u00e2\u20ac\u2122s Knesset speech last week that he may yet order an attack on Iran before he leaves office, particularly if Sen. Obama should win the November elections, it appears that the Washington Institute for Near East Policy (WINEP) is preparing the case for why an attack \u00e2\u20ac\u201d either by the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-4335","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"meta_box":{"disable_donate_message":"","custom_donate_message":"","subtitle":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4335","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/49"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4335"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4335\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4335"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4335"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4335"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=4335"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}