{"id":54206,"date":"2025-07-11T06:24:52","date_gmt":"2025-07-11T14:24:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/?p=54206"},"modified":"2025-07-11T06:24:52","modified_gmt":"2025-07-11T14:24:52","slug":"scary-report-the-nuclear-club-may-double-with-south-korea-japan-and-others","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/2025\/07\/11\/scary-report-the-nuclear-club-may-double-with-south-korea-japan-and-others\/","title":{"rendered":"Scary Report: &#8216;The Nuclear Club May Double&#8217; with South Korea, Japan, and Others"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><i>Reprinted with permission from Greg Mitchell\u2019s newsletter <a href=\"https:\/\/oppenheimer2023.substack.com\/\">Oppenheimer and the Legacy of His Bomb<\/a>.<\/i><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-54211\" src=\"https:\/\/d27srd8s9736cr.cloudfront.net\/2025\/07\/e99ec9b7-4a07-467e-8ada-29bf6fbf5820_1500x671.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1500\" height=\"671\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d27srd8s9736cr.cloudfront.net\/2025\/07\/e99ec9b7-4a07-467e-8ada-29bf6fbf5820_1500x671-300x134.jpg 300w, https:\/\/d27srd8s9736cr.cloudfront.net\/2025\/07\/e99ec9b7-4a07-467e-8ada-29bf6fbf5820_1500x671-1024x458.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/d27srd8s9736cr.cloudfront.net\/2025\/07\/e99ec9b7-4a07-467e-8ada-29bf6fbf5820_1500x671-768x344.jpg 768w, https:\/\/d27srd8s9736cr.cloudfront.net\/2025\/07\/e99ec9b7-4a07-467e-8ada-29bf6fbf5820_1500x671-1080x483.jpg 1080w, https:\/\/d27srd8s9736cr.cloudfront.net\/2025\/07\/e99ec9b7-4a07-467e-8ada-29bf6fbf5820_1500x671-1280x573.jpg 1280w, https:\/\/d27srd8s9736cr.cloudfront.net\/2025\/07\/e99ec9b7-4a07-467e-8ada-29bf6fbf5820_1500x671-980x438.jpg 980w, https:\/\/d27srd8s9736cr.cloudfront.net\/2025\/07\/e99ec9b7-4a07-467e-8ada-29bf6fbf5820_1500x671-480x215.jpg 480w, https:\/\/d27srd8s9736cr.cloudfront.net\/2025\/07\/e99ec9b7-4a07-467e-8ada-29bf6fbf5820_1500x671.jpg 1500w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1500px) 100vw, 1500px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Returning again with coverage of yet another feature<\/strong> in the new special issue of <em>The Atlantic<\/em> with numerous important pieces on nuclear threat (and history) marking the 80th anniversary of the atomic bombings of Japan and the birth of the nuclear age. I\u2019ve explored three of the pieces in two previous posts, <a href=\"https:\/\/oppenheimer2023.substack.com\/p\/one-magazine-two-profound-warnings\" rel=\"\">here<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/oppenheimer2023.substack.com\/p\/vonnegut-and-the-bomb\" rel=\"\">here<\/a> (the latter related to Kurt Vonnegut).<\/p>\n<p>First, I\u2019ll briefly note again <a href=\"https:\/\/gregmitchphoto.com\/atomicbowl\/\" rel=\"\">my own project for the 80th<\/a> starts streaming on PBS tomorrow, and on stations rolling out over the next month. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pbs.org\/show\/atomic-bowl-football-at-ground-zero-and-nuclear-peril-today\/\" rel=\"\">This is the link to the PBS preview page<\/a> which will probably include the actual film starting on Saturday, but in any case, you will be able to find it somewhere at PBS.org and PBS apps. Also, I will point you to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.esquire.com\/news-politics\/politics\/a65371668\/the-atomic-bowl-greg-mitchell-documentary-review\/\" rel=\"\">a new review of the film <\/a>by the great Charlie Pierce at <em>Esquire<\/em>, with the evocative title. \u201c<em>The Atomic Bowl<\/em> Is an Urgent Reminder of the Terrors of Nuclear War: The new PBS documentary is necessary viewing.\u201d And one more time: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/dp\/B0FG1XN963?ref_=ast_author_dp_rw&amp;th=1&amp;psc=1&amp;dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.rX9XxTEqVgYvUlyTSBz3F31gwJsCoLpTNMbbAzT65kWYRgHQoydT876tB9jogP-LHag0JJZwGZSSqO8QnQcnno7kZ0F1u_faPI69Pd-ZAC_NFHQitoAOJ06tKoUbu55eIniH3wW3Jfi_FyEDuUOS6mYmWX88J1UR8IXfEEj-hPhIVFBFV1Srq4gK5q9s4JmUYL2rB6Jj_iK5-4055AR4FIPJfA9Dg3OcpOLJH5vhq7o.al2V14VhwvHhj03iSopeurB2x2gWPLffA9OjNNF3Vfg&amp;dib_tag=AUTHOR\" rel=\"\">the companion e-book<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Now onward. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/magazine\/archive\/2025\/08\/nuclear-proliferation-arms-race\/683251\/?utm_campaign=atlantic-daily-newsletter&amp;utm_content=20250710&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_term=The+Atlantic+Daily\" rel=\"\">new <\/a><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/magazine\/archive\/2025\/08\/nuclear-proliferation-arms-race\/683251\/?utm_campaign=atlantic-daily-newsletter&amp;utm_content=20250710&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_term=The+Atlantic+Daily\" rel=\"\">Atlantic<\/a><\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/magazine\/archive\/2025\/08\/nuclear-proliferation-arms-race\/683251\/?utm_campaign=atlantic-daily-newsletter&amp;utm_content=20250710&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_term=The+Atlantic+Daily\" rel=\"\"> piece<\/a> by Ross Andersen is titled, \u201cThe Nuclear Club Might Soon Double: As American power recedes, South Korea, Japan, and a host of other countries may pursue the bomb.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>It opens with his meeting in Hiroshima with a survivor of the bombing, now 87. (Survivors were far easier to find when I interviewed more than a dozen \u2013 forty-one years ago.) He then turns at length to elsewhere in Asia, where a \u201cdestabilizing proliferation cascade has already begun in East Asia, and proliferation often begets proliferation. Julian Gewirtz, who served as the senior director for China and Taiwan affairs on the National Security Council during the Biden administration, told me that China\u2019s astonishingly fast and ambitious nuclear buildup has unsettled countries all across Asia. In both South Korea and Japan, he said, these concerns, combined with uncertainties about the Trump administration, \u2018may lead them to consider ideas that were once unthinkable.\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n<p>North Korea\u2019s Kim \u201cis already estimated to have about 50 warheads, and the material needed to build as many as 90 more. His nuclear ambitions have grown along with China\u2019s. He doesn\u2019t want to be a nuclear peer of India and Pakistan, who have contented themselves with about 170 warheads each. Kim wants to have about 300, like the United Kingdom and France, sources told me.\u201d Andersen then probes South Korea\u2019s interest in joining the nuclear club, and how that might spur a very nervous rival, Japan, to do the same.<\/p>\n<p>Separately, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/newsletters\/archive\/2025\/07\/japan-hiroshima-nagasaki-nuclear-warfare\/683501\/\" rel=\"\">Andersen spoke with Isabel Fattal<\/a>, a senior editor, and reported:<\/p>\n<p><em>For the story, I spent some time with the governor of Hiroshima, Hidehiko Yuzaki, and he told me that nearly everyone who goes sees something that hits them particularly hard. For me, it was seeing the burned clothes of very small children in the museum and thinking about what happened to them and also what happened to 20,000 other children. The enormity of that suffering is hard to even hold in your mind. But in light of that, what\u2019s remarkable \u2013 and what surprised me \u2013 is that among the city\u2019s leaders, there isn\u2019t a sense of bitterness over what happened there. Instead, going all the way back to just a few years after the attacks, when the wounds were still raw, they sought to make Hiroshima a mecca for global disarmament and peace.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>But going back to his own article for the magazine, and at the risk of providing a bit of a \u201cspoiler\u201d (though it is a tiny portion of the piece), here is his powerful ending:<\/p>\n<p><em>Before I left the Hiroshima-prefecture headquarters, I asked Governor Yuzaki what people usually overlook when they come to his city. Yuzaki paused for a moment to consider the question. He has personally hosted heads of state who control these arsenals. He said that most people are moved. He has watched foreign dignitaries weep in Hiroshima\u2019s museums. He has seen them sitting in stunned silence before the memorials in the Peace Park. People feel horrible about what happened here, he told me. But they don\u2019t seem to understand that humanity is now risking something even more terrible. They think that Hiroshima is the past, Yuzaki said. It\u2019s not. It\u2019s the present.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/technology\/archive\/2025\/02\/elon-musk-doge-nuclear-weapons\/681581\/\" rel=\"\">see Andersen\u2019s earlier piece<\/a> \u201cIf DOGE Goes Nuclear.\u201d More scary stuff.<\/p>\n<div class=\"preamble\">\n<p><strong>Thanks for reading Oppenheimer and the Legacy of His Bomb! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"subscribe-widget\" data-component-name=\"SubscribeWidget\">\n<div class=\"pencraft pc-display-flex pc-justifyContent-center pc-reset\">\n<div class=\"container-IpPqBD\">\n<form class=\"form form-M5sC90\" action=\"https:\/\/oppenheimer2023.substack.com\/api\/v1\/free?nojs=true\" method=\"post\" novalidate=\"\">\n<div class=\"sideBySideWrap-vGXrwP\">\n<div class=\"emailInputWrapper-QlA86j\">\n<div class=\"pencraft pc-display-flex pc-minWidth-0 pc-position-relative flexAuto-Bzdrdy pc-reset\"><input class=\"pencraft emailInput-OkIMeB input-y4v6N4 inputText-pV_yWb\" name=\"email\" type=\"email\" placeholder=\"Type your email...\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><button class=\"pencraft pc-reset pencraft rightButton primary subscribe-btn button-VFSdkv buttonBase-GK1x3M\" tabindex=\"0\" type=\"submit\"><span class=\"button-text \">Subscribe<\/span><\/button><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/form>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><i>Greg Mitchell is the author of a dozen books, including \u201cHiroshima in America,\u201d and the recent award-winning\u00a0<\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Beginning-End-Hollywood-Learned-Worrying\/dp\/1620975734\">The Beginning or the End: How Hollywood \u2013 and America \u2013 Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb<\/a><i>, and has directed three documentary films since 2021, including two for PBS (plus award-winning \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/gregmitchphoto.com\/atomic-cover-up\/\">Atomic Cover-up<\/a>\u201d). He has written widely about the atomic bomb and atomic bombings, and their aftermath, for over forty years. He writes often at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/oppenheimer2023.substack.com\/\">Oppenheimer and the Legacy of His Bomb<\/a>.<\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Reprinted with permission from Greg Mitchell\u2019s newsletter Oppenheimer and the Legacy of His Bomb. Returning again with coverage of yet another feature in the new special issue of The Atlantic with numerous important pieces on nuclear threat (and history) marking the 80th anniversary of the atomic bombings of Japan and the birth of the nuclear [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":466,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"none","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"coauthors":[812],"class_list":["post-54206","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"meta_box":{"disable_donate_message":"","custom_donate_message":"","subtitle":"Another important article from <I>The Atlantic<\/I>'s special issue."},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54206","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/466"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=54206"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54206\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":54210,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54206\/revisions\/54210"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=54206"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=54206"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=54206"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=54206"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}