{"id":55127,"date":"2025-09-17T03:50:35","date_gmt":"2025-09-17T11:50:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/?p=55127"},"modified":"2025-09-17T03:50:44","modified_gmt":"2025-09-17T11:50:44","slug":"90-of-nicaraguans-feel-spied-upon-true-or-fake-news","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/2025\/09\/17\/90-of-nicaraguans-feel-spied-upon-true-or-fake-news\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8216;90% of Nicaraguans Feel Spied Upon&#8217; \u2013 True, or Fake News?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The \u201cspied upon\u201d headline from <em>El Pais<\/em> is unequivocal. The story, in the newspaper\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/english.elpais.com\/international\/2025-09-08\/revolutionary-surveillance-90-of-nicaraguans-feel-spied-upon.html\">English-language edition<\/a>, says that Nicaraguans live in \u201ca climate of permanent surveillance\u201d in which they distrust even their neighbors. Further, apparently harmless community meetings are really \u201ca mechanism of social control\u201d where they \u201cfeel watched.\u201d <em>El Pais<\/em> sources a survey carried out \u201cindependently\u201d by an organization called <em>Hagamos Democracia<\/em> (\u201cLet\u2019s Make Democracy\u201d), based in Costa Rica. Its president, Jes\u00fas Tefel, says that people can\u2019t \u201cexpress opinions openly for fear of being betrayed.\u201d <em>El Pais\u2019s <\/em>conclusion is that Nicaraguans live under \u201cconstant surveillance and repression.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Is this true or is it fake news? To probe this question, let\u2019s first take a look at the author of the article and the main sources used.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Wilfredo Miranda<\/strong>, the journalist, is a Nicaraguan based in Costa Rica. He\u2019s written <a href=\"https:\/\/english.elpais.com\/author\/wilfredo-miranda-aburto\/\">23 articles<\/a> for <em>El Pais<\/em> in the past twelve months, all but two of them negative stories about Nicaragua\u2019s government. This is hardly surprising since his career has been entirely in opposition news outlets, such as <em>Divergentes<\/em>, which he founded, and <em>Confidencial<\/em>. The latter is owned by the wealthy Nicaraguan family of the Chamorros, who received <a href=\"https:\/\/twoworlds.me\/nicaragua\/is-usaid-a-criminal-organization-in-nicaragua-the-evidence-suggests-it-was\/\">at least $7 million from USAID<\/a> to promote opposition media in the run up to the attempted coup in Nicaragua in 2018. Miranda has also written for the UK <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/profile\/wilfredo-miranda\"><em>Guardian<\/em><\/a> and for the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/es\/post-opinion\/2021\/08\/18\/la-prensa-nicaragua-asalto-daniel-ortega\/\"><em>Washington<\/em> <em>Post<\/em><\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Hagamos Democracia<\/em><\/strong> is a non-governmental organization (NGO), founded in 1995 in Nicaragua, closed by the government in December 2018 and now based in Costa Rica. Its funding sources prior to its closure included <a href=\"https:\/\/afgj.org\/nicanotes-nicaragua-virtual-reality-and-human-rights\">USAID<\/a> (US$801,390) and the <a href=\"https:\/\/coha.org\/the-other-nicaragua-empire-and-resistance\/\">National Endowment for Democracy<\/a> (US$525,000). In Costa Rica it <a href=\"https:\/\/nicaleaks.com\/amenazo-de-muerte-al-presidente-ortega\/\">received<\/a> US $1,114,000 from Washington to work with exiled political activists. Its sparse <a href=\"https:\/\/hagamosdemocracia.org\/\">website<\/a> claims the NGO is independent. It says nothing about its funding sources or how it\u2019s run.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Jes\u00fas Tefel<\/strong>, a Nicaraguan exiled in Costa Rica, became the organization\u2019s president in 2024. Tefel is a founder of one of Nicaragua\u2019s main opposition political parties and part of an initiative called \u201cMonteverde,\u201d which is attempting to unite these diverse groups.<\/p>\n<p>Behind <em>Hagamos Democracia<\/em> is <strong>Luciano &#8220;Chano&#8221; Garc\u00eda<\/strong>, alleged to have <a href=\"https:\/\/nicaleaks.com\/luciano-garcia-compro-presidencia-de-hagamos-democracia\/\">bought its presidency in 2017<\/a> until he stood down in Tefel\u2019s favor last year. Chano is a long-time opponent of Nicaragua\u2019s Sandinista government and a relative of former dictator Anastasio Somoza. An <a href=\"https:\/\/nicaleaks.com\/amenazo-de-muerte-al-presidente-ortega\/\">organizer<\/a> of the coup attempt in 2018, he recruited known violent, criminals, called for the overthrow of the government and campaigned for police officers to desert their posts. When the coup attempt failed, he fled to Costa Rica, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/story.php\/?story_fbid=1838948152819443&amp;id=101008949946714\">allegedly<\/a> with the help of a CIA agent. Chano is accused by Nicaragua\u2019s attorney general of organized crime, terrorism, and conspiracy against the constitutional order.<\/p>\n<p>Second, let\u2019s look at the survey itself. How was it carried out when the population is supposedly \u201cunder constant surveillance&#8221;? How can <em>Hagamos Democracia<\/em> conduct a survey in a different country? We do not know because the survey has not been published, but previous surveys <a href=\"https:\/\/hagamosdemocracia.org\/informes\/\">have been<\/a>. Here\u2019s how they work:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Typically they have 400 respondents out of Nicaragua\u2019s 7 million population, the bare minimum to ensure reasonable confidence in the results, <em>provided that<\/em> the sample is truly random.<\/li>\n<li>But it isn\u2019t: surveys are done using Whatsapp or Signal, limiting their coverage to people with smartphones who use those apps, excluding huge numbers of the government\u2019s working-class supporters.<\/li>\n<li>Respondents then have to fill in a Google questionnaire with around 45 questions \u2013 a further barrier, limiting the survey to those with the necessary skills and familiarity with such forms.<\/li>\n<li>Worse still, assuming that those carrying out the survey say who they work for, many Sandinista sympathizers would simply hang up on hearing the words \u201c<em>Hagamos Democracia<\/em>.\u201d<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Third, let\u2019s look at the timing: the survey was carried out July 18 to 23 this year, precisely the weekend when millions of Nicaraguans were celebrating the 46<sup>th<\/sup> anniversary of the Sandinista revolution. There could hardly be a worse moment to carry out a balanced survey that required detailed attention to a survey form.<\/p>\n<p>Faced with all these facts, an objective observer would surely conclude that the survey is political propaganda and that a responsible newspaper would have ignored it.<\/p>\n<p>In any case, a thoughtful reader might ask, if these neighborhood meetings are \u201ca mechanism of social control\u201d, why do people go to them? The reality is that, while naturally their effectiveness varies, many are excellent examples of grassroots democracy, designed to hold public services to account. For example, in the city of Masaya one <em>barrio<\/em> committee has been pushing for better garbage-collecting services and assists the local health center in ensuring that local people with chronic illnesses get treatment. A typical meeting in this <em>barrio<\/em> sees 100-200 neighbors listening to and questioning officials in a friendly atmosphere, far from the \u201crepression\u201d portrayed by <em>El Pais<\/em>. Such levels of participation should be the envy of western \u201cdemocracies\u201d, rather than being scorned.<\/p>\n<p><em>El Pais <\/em>also fails to set the context for the issues covered in the article. If readers knew that Nicaragua had suffered a violent, US-funded coup attempt in 2018, in which over 200 ordinary people and 22 police officers were killed in opposition violence that continued for three months, they might appreciate why a degree of vigilance is required.<\/p>\n<p>This omission is not surprising. <em>El Pais\u2019s<\/em> demonization of Nicaragua goes back a long way. It unashamedly <a href=\"https:\/\/elpais.com\/especiales\/2019\/represion-nicaragua\/\">supported<\/a> the 2018 \u201crebellion\u201d and glorified the US-funded violence. Many of its articles about Nicaragua, like this one, appear to ignore its own <a href=\"https:\/\/elpais.com\/info\/codigo-etico\/\">ethical code<\/a> about balanced reporting.<\/p>\n<p><em>El Pais<\/em> ridicules President Ortega\u2019s warning in July of growing threats from Washington, against a country whose defense budget is one of the smallest in the Americas. Yet the warning resonates with many Nicaraguans who want no repetition of 2018\u2019s violence. Most regard Nicaragua\u2019s standing as one of Latin America\u2019s safest countries to be worth protecting and view with alarm the growing lawlessness in next-door Costa Rica (over 500 homicides in 2025 so far).<\/p>\n<p>Readers might also wonder why <em>El Pais<\/em> singles out Nicaragua, when its readers in the West really are under \u201cpermanent surveillance.\u201d According to some studies, those in the USA are caught on surveillance cameras <a href=\"https:\/\/studyfinds.org\/americans-security-cameras-study\">34 times a day<\/a>, while for people in the UK the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.standard.co.uk\/hp\/front\/we-re-watching-you-britons-caught-on-cctv-70-times-a-day-6573202.html\">number doubles<\/a>. Spain <a href=\"https:\/\/citizenlab.ca\/2022\/04\/catalangate-extensive-mercenary-spyware-operation-against-catalans-using-pegasus-candiru\/\">uses<\/a> Israeli \u201cPegasus\u201d spyware against those pushing for an independent Catalonia. And, of course, secret surveillance of our phone calls and emails has been revealed as widespread by Edward Snowden and other whistleblowers.<\/p>\n<p>The irony of <em>El Pais\u2019s <\/em>article is that, unconsciously, it pays a backhanded compliment to a country where \u2013 according to this fake news survey \u2013 only \u201c90%\u201d of Nicaraguans feel spied upon.<\/p>\n<p><em>Nicaragua-based John Perry is with the Nicaragua Solidarity Coalition and writes for MR Online, the London Review of Books, FAIR and Covert Action, among others. <\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Francisco Dominguez is national secretary of the UK-based Venezuela Solidarity Campaign.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The \u201cspied upon\u201d headline from El Pais is unequivocal. The story, in the newspaper\u2019s English-language edition, says that Nicaraguans live in \u201ca climate of permanent surveillance\u201d in which they distrust even their neighbors. Further, apparently harmless community meetings are really \u201ca mechanism of social control\u201d where they \u201cfeel watched.\u201d El Pais sources a survey carried [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":677,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"none","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"coauthors":[1367],"class_list":["post-55127","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"meta_box":{"disable_donate_message":"0","custom_donate_message":"","subtitle":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55127","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/677"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=55127"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55127\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":55131,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55127\/revisions\/55131"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=55127"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=55127"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=55127"},{"taxonomy":"author","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/coauthors?post=55127"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}