{"id":59563,"date":"2026-06-01T05:36:04","date_gmt":"2026-06-01T13:36:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/?p=59563"},"modified":"2026-06-01T05:36:04","modified_gmt":"2026-06-01T13:36:04","slug":"poll-bipartisan-opposition-to-a-military-draft","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.antiwar.com\/blog\/2026\/06\/01\/poll-bipartisan-opposition-to-a-military-draft\/","title":{"rendered":"Poll: Bipartisan Opposition to a Military Draft"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/overtoninsights.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Party-and-Demographic-Crosstabs-May-2026-Overton-Insights-Poll.pdf\">new poll by Overton Insights<\/a> shows the breadth and depth of opposition to a military draft \u2013 and how far members of Congress lag behind popular anti-draft (and anti-war) sentiment.<\/p>\n<p>All categories of Americans who were polled would oppose a draft: Republicans, Democrats, and independents; women and men; people of draft age and people too old to be drafted; and people of all races.<\/p>\n<p>The wording of the poll reflected the confused nature of most recent <a href=\"https:\/\/hasbrouck.org\/draft\/automatic\/links.html\">reporting<\/a> about U.S. planning and preparation for a draft. There was no mention of the <a href=\"https:\/\/wagingnonviolence.org\/2026\/05\/automatic-draft-registration-undoes-a-quiet-resistance-victory\/\">impending shift<\/a> from self-registration to <a href=\"https:\/\/hasbrouck.org\/draft\/automatic\/\">automatic<\/a> registration of young men for a future draft.<\/p>\n<p>Respondents to the poll were asked, \u201cIf President Trump implemented a military draft, would you support or oppose it?\u201d, which implies (incorrectly) that the President could activate a draft without authorization from Congress.<\/p>\n<p>But the focus of the question on whether respondents would approve of an action by President Trump makes it even more noteworthy that a preponderance of Republicans \u2013 presumably supporters of the President \u2013 would oppose an attempt by Trump to activate a draft. 41% of Republicans would oppose a Trump draft, compared to 33% who would support it. Among Republicans as among all other groups, most opponents of a draft hold their views \u201cstrongly\u201d, while most supporters would only \u201csomewhat\u201d support a draft.<\/p>\n<p>Members of Congress have long been afraid that speaking out against trying to maintain \u201creadiness\u201d for a draft, even if <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usatoday.com\/story\/opinion\/voices\/2026\/05\/23\/selective-service-automatic-registration-draft-prison\/89844891007\/\">draft registration has been a failure<\/a> and trying to activate a draft would be a <a href=\"https:\/\/responsiblestatecraft.org\/military-draft-iran\/\">fiasco<\/a>, would hurt them at the polls.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The takeaway from this latest opinion poll is that members and candidates for Congress regardless of party have much more to gain than to lose by taking a clear, strong stand against any draft.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/d27srd8s9736cr.cloudfront.net\/2026\/06\/Overton-Insights-MAY2026.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-59566\" src=\"https:\/\/d27srd8s9736cr.cloudfront.net\/2026\/06\/Overton-Insights-MAY2026.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"702\" height=\"711\" srcset=\"https:\/\/d27srd8s9736cr.cloudfront.net\/2026\/06\/Overton-Insights-MAY2026-296x300.png 296w, https:\/\/d27srd8s9736cr.cloudfront.net\/2026\/06\/Overton-Insights-MAY2026.png 702w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 702px) 100vw, 702px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/original.antiwar.com\/edward_hasbrouck\/2026\/05\/19\/senators-propose-to-head-off-automatic-draft-registration-by-repealing-selective-service\/\">Selective Service Repeal Act<\/a> (S.4537) has bipartisan support in the Senate, but it doesn\u2019t yet have a sponsor in the current session of the House of Representatives. It\u2019s unlikely to be enacted (or even given a hearing or brought to a vote) as a standalone bill, rather than as part of some larger \u201cmust-pass\u201d bill. The best chance for passage of the Selective Service Repeal Act would be if it is included in the annual National Defense [sic] Authorization Act (NDAA).<\/p>\n<p>This Thursday, 4 June 2026, the <a href=\"https:\/\/armedservices.house.gov\/about\/members.htm\">House Armed Services Committee<\/a> (HASC) will begin its <a href=\"https:\/\/armedservices.house.gov\/calendar\/eventsingle.aspx?EventID=6601\">markup<\/a> of this year\u2019s NDAA.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Opponents of the draft, especially those who are represented by <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/armedservices.house.gov\/about\/members.htm\"><strong>members<\/strong><\/a><strong> of the HASC, should call their Congressional representatives this week and urge them to introduce the Selective Service Repeal Act as an amendment to the NDAA as well as a standalone bill.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Let them know that \u2013 as the latest poll clearly shows \u2013 opposing a draft will win them far more votes than it will lose.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A new poll by Overton Insights shows the breadth and depth of opposition to a military draft \u2013 and how far members of Congress lag behind popular anti-draft (and anti-war) sentiment. All categories of Americans who were polled would oppose a draft: Republicans, Democrats, and independents; women and men; people of draft age and people 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