Memo to: Chairman Richard Lugar, Senate Foreign Relations
cc: Senator Joseph Biden, ranking Democrat
Re: The Plan to Scrap the Nonproliferation Treaty
You have obviously told the White House that you
will hold your nose and try to get John Bolton through the committee this week
and confirmed by the Senate ASAP. It's no secret that when the neocons who run
foreign policy in this administration via control of Vice President Cheney tried
to get Bolton the No. 2 slot at State under Condi Rice, you balked and said
he could not be confirmed for that job. My guess, Senator, is that you figure
he could not do as much damage at Turtle Bay as he could at Foggy Bottom. There
is no way he could dismantle the United Nations, and in the hearings today before
your committee he made all kinds of sweet sounds about wanting the "strengthen
the UN." His real mission, though, is nothing less than to undermine the
Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT), and once he is installed, he will be
in a position to take his orders from the Perle Cabal to do so.
In case you had forgotten, countries that are party to the Treaty will gather
in New York City next month for the 1970 treaty's Seventh Review Conference.
The members, practically every nation on earth, meet every five years to assess
how things are going. Actually, things have been going very well, as evidenced
by the fact that the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has been proven
correct in its assessment that Saddam Hussein had no nuke program and would
be incapable of building one – an assessment made before the president decided
we had to go to war anyway, just to make sure. Yes, there are problems with
Iran and North Korea that will be discussed at the Review Conference, but you
should know that there would be no problems with either country if it were not
for the mess Bolton made in the first Bush term in wrecking the diplomatic efforts
Secretary of State Colin Powell was trying to pursue.
What is already happening is that Jackie Wolcott Sanders, the U.S. special
representative for nuclear nonproliferation and a Bolton underling while he
held the top nonproliferation post at State, has given every indication that
the United States will be asking the conference to "fix" the treaty
on the grounds that it has become outmoded. You can check this out at the State
Department's home page, where Ms. Sanders' statement on NPT policy immediately
precedes your statement on legislative perspectives on nukes. Also note the
president's statement of NPT support on that same page: "Parties to the
Treaty on the Nonproliferation of Nuclear Weapons must take strong action to
confront the threat of noncompliance with the NPT in order to preserve and strengthen
the treaty's nonproliferation undertakings."
The reason the treaty is outmoded, she says repeatedly, is because it has
become too easy for NPT members to violate the terms of the treaty and get away
with it. As Dr. Gordon Prather,
whom I believe you know, put it in an e-mail last week: "She has
as Bolton did before her deliberately confused 'failure to fully comply
with an IAEA Safeguards Agreement' with 'violations' of the NPT. … So far as
the IAEA has been able to determine, no country subject to the NPT-IAEA-Safeguards
regime [except Iraq, of course] has 'violated' the NPT. It is outrageous that
Bolton and Sanders deliberately obfuscate the difference between 'failure to
fully comply with an IAEA Agreement' with 'violations of the NPT' or of the
even more deliberate obfuscation 'failure to comply with its NPT obligations.'"
What Prather is saying is that many countries (including the United States),
have not fully complied with the Safeguards regime, which actually preceded
the NPT, and which simply means that they were have found to have done something
that they were obliged to report to the IAEA and failed to do so, for example
moving material from Building A to Building B. Most recently, both Egypt and
South Korea were found to have "not fully complied" with Safeguard,
but there is no evidence that they (or Iran, or North Korea) ever violated the
terms of the NPT. Iraq did, but what Bolton and Sanders hate to point out is
that the NPT was strengthened when that clandestine effort was discovered after
the Gulf War. The new protocols, to which Iran has agreed, permit intrusive,
perpetual inspections, not by IAEA snoops coming in now and then, but with on-site
cameras and sensing devices that would permit Director General Mohammed el-Baradei's
team in Vienna to monitor Iran's program night and day.
The real intent of the neocons who cooked up the war in Iraq is to smoke another
one past you and the Foreign Relations Committee and ultimately against the
president. They will surely propose an amendment "strengthening" the
treaty that will remove the "inalienable right" of NPT members to
enrich uranium for peaceful purposes (under perpetual monitoring). North Korea
was quite prepared to do this several years ago, until it observed Iraq – a
fellow "rogue state" according to the president in full compliance
with the NPT and getting bombed and occupied anyway.
There is probably no way the NPT Conference would agree to amending the treaty,
as it would have to be agreed to by Russian and China, who clearly see what's
going on here: One of the moves in the neocon chess game is to bring about "regime
change" in Tehran, by hook or by crook, in order to satisfy the Likudniks
in Tel Aviv that only Israel will have nukes in the Middle East. Dr. Prather
points out that every schoolkid knows Israel has a nuclear arsenal, yet each
year the American president certifies in his request for financial aid to Israel
that he has no evidence of Israeli nukes.
Well, okay, but Iran is not going to sit still if push comes to shove on this
issue and the U.S. threatens military action, i.e., the bombing of sites that
might someday be converted into nuke sites. What worries Dr. Prather, and frankly
me, is that Iran would respond with conventional sea power in the Persian Gulf
and with modern sea-skimmers it has acquired from China blow up a bunch of U.S.
warships and oil tankers. Pretty soon things could get serious. Don't you think?
Anyway, if you have a chance, Senator, you might look into all this. Even if
you only have a chance to clear up this fuzziness between the Safeguard Regime
and the NPT. This is the kind of cloudiness over intelligence that got us in
the soup in Iraq. It would be far soupier if we found ourselves on a slippery
slope with Tehran. Don't you think?