Reprinted from Bracing Views with the author’s permission. Recently, the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists featured a fiction contest: “Write Before Midnight.” I sent in an entry, which, sad to say, didn’t win. (The winners can be found here.) But that’s OK: I enjoyed...
The impression you get listening to US politicians talk about Iran is that Iranians overwhelmingly oppose the regime. Mike Waltz says, “The people of Iran want freedom.” Ted Cruz says, “the people of Iran want to stand with America” and “they want to stand with...
Missed signals are costly; misplaced confidence is worse. We open by unpacking the concrete indicators that war planners watch—carrier deployments, airspace changes, and last‑minute strike deliberations—and what they tell us about the real likelihood of a U.S. hit on...
Reprinted from John's Substack: On 15 January 2026, I was on “Judging Freedom” talking with the Judge about a variety of topics, but most importantly on the evolving situation in Iran. I laid out my thinking on 1) what the US and Israel were trying to do in Iran —...
On today’s Ron Paul Liberty Report: The world waited anxiously last night as all signs pointed to a US strike on Iran. The attack did not come and many wonder whether this is more trickery or if the president has wisely decided to resist neocon demands. Polls suggest...
What happens when war becomes a market and foreign policy turns into an odds board? We dive into the uneasy world of prediction platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, where traders place bets on battlefield maps, covert raids, and even the exact words politicians will...
Reprinted from Bracing Views with the author’s permission. Perhaps you’ve heard the quip that no matter who you vote for in America’s presidential derby, you get warhorse John McCain. Well, not literally John McCain, but someone much like him, someone who believes in...
Reprinted from John's Substack: On 14 January 2026, I was on the “Deep Dive” with Lt. Col. (ret.) Danny Davis talking mainly about the central role of Israel and the US in causing and fueling the protests in Iran. I noted that their goal is simply not regime change,...
On today’s Ron Paul Liberty Report: What at first seemed like a whimsical or even humorous claim has now taken a more sinister turn. President Trump has demanded that Greenland come under control of the US government or the Russians or Chinese will take if over. Will...
“Ask yourself whether you are willing to kill in an unjust war, whether decrees from the US government can provide sufficient moral justification for you to slaughter folks in Afghanistan or Nicaragua (in my day), or anywhere, and whether being called a coward is more...
