The dream of the Bush administration – eternal
global domination abroad with no other superpower or bloc of powers on the military
horizon and a Republican Party dominant at home for at least a generation
long ago evaporated in Iraq. A midterm election and subsequent devastating polling
figures tell the tale. The days when neocons, their supporters, and attending
pundits talked about the US as the "new Rome" of planet Earth now seem to
exist on the other side of some Startrekkian wormhole.
And
yet the imperial damage remains everywhere around us. Give the Bush administration
credit. They moved the goalposts. They created the sort of dystopian imperial
reality (as well as a mess of future-busting proportions) that a generation
of relative sanity might not be able to fully reverse. The
facts on the ground the vastness of the Pentagon, the power of the
military-industrial complex, the inept but already bloated Homeland Security
Department (and the vast security interests coalescing around it), the staggering
alphabet (or acronym) soup
of the "Intelligence
Community" all of this militates against real change, which is why
we need Chalmers Johnson.
Nemesis:
The Last Days of the American Republic, the final volume of his Blowback
trilogy, is about to storm your local bookstore (and can be pre-ordered
at Amazon now). It is a reminder of just how far we've moved from the sort
of democratic America that the president is always holding up as a model to
the rest of the world. As with Blowback
and The
Sorrows of Empire before it, Nemesis, Johnson's grand, if grim,
conclusion to our American tragedy, is simply a must-read. While you're waiting
for the book to arrive in your hands, you can get a little preview of its themes
below. ~ Tom
Empire v. Democracy: Why Nemesis Is at Our Door
by Chalmers Johnson
History tells us that one of the most unstable
political combinations is a country like the United States today
that tries to be a domestic democracy and a foreign imperialist. Why
this is so can be a very abstract subject. Perhaps the best way to offer my
thoughts on this is to say a few words about my new book, Nemesis,
and explain why I gave it the subtitle, "The Last Days of the American Republic."
Nemesis is the third book to have grown out of my research over the past
eight years. I never set out to write a trilogy on our increasingly endangered
democracy, but as I kept stumbling on ever more evidence of the legacy of the
imperialist pressures we put on many other countries as well as the nature and
size of our military empire, one book led to another.
Professionally, I am a specialist in the history and politics
of East Asia. In 2000, I published Blowback:
The Costs and Consequences of American Empire, because my research on
China, Japan, and the two Koreas persuaded me that our policies there would
have serious future consequences. The book was noticed at the time, but only
after 9/11 did the CIA term I adapted for the title "blowback"
become a household word and my volume a bestseller.
I had set out to explain how exactly our government came to be
so hated around the world. As a CIA term of tradecraft, "blowback" does not
just mean retaliation for things our government has done to, and in, foreign
countries. It refers specifically to retaliation for illegal operations carried
out abroad that were kept totally secret from the American public. These
operations have included the clandestine overthrow of governments various administrations
did not like, the training of foreign militaries in the techniques of state
terrorism, the rigging of elections in foreign countries, interference with
the economic viability of countries that seemed to threaten the interests of
influential American corporations, as well as the torture or assassination of
selected foreigners. The fact that these actions were, at least originally,
secret meant that when retaliation does come as it did so spectacularly
on September 11, 2001 the American public is incapable of putting the
events in context. Not surprisingly, then, Americans tend to support speedy
acts of revenge intended to punish the actual, or alleged, perpetrators. These
moments of lashing out, of course, only prepare the ground for yet another cycle
of blowback.
A World of Bases
As a continuation of my own analytical odyssey, I then began
doing research on the network of 737 American military bases we maintained around
the world (according to the Pentagon's own 2005 official inventory). Not including
the Iraq and Afghanistan conflicts, we now station over half a million US
troops, spies, contractors, dependents, and others on military bases located
in more than 130 countries, many of them presided over by dictatorial regimes
that have given their citizens no say in the decision to let us in.
As but one striking example of imperial basing policy: For the past sixty-one
years, the US military has garrisoned the small Japanese island of Okinawa
with 37 bases. Smaller than Kauai in the Hawaiian Islands, Okinawa is home to
1.3 million people who live cheek-by-jowl with 17,000 Marines of the 3rd Marine
Division and the largest US installation in East Asia Kadena Air Force
Base. There have been many Okinawan protests against the rapes, crimes, accidents,
and pollution caused by this sort of concentration of American troops and weaponry,
but so far the US military in collusion with the Japanese government
has ignored them. My research into our base world resulted in The
Sorrows of Empire: Militarism, Secrecy, and the End of the Republic,
written during the run-up to the Iraq invasion.
As our occupations of Afghanistan and Iraq turned into major
fiascoes, discrediting our military leadership, ruining our public finances,
and bringing death and destruction to hundreds of thousands of civilians in
those countries, I continued to ponder the issue of empire. In these years,
it became ever clearer that George W. Bush, Dick Cheney, and their supporters
were claiming, and actively assuming, powers specifically denied to a president
by our Constitution. It became no less clear that Congress had almost completely
abdicated its responsibilities to balance the power of the executive branch.
Despite the Democratic sweep in the 2006 election, it remains to be seen whether
these tendencies can, in the long run, be controlled, let alone reversed.
Until the 2004 presidential election, ordinary citizens of the
United States could at least claim that our foreign policy, including our illegal
invasion of Iraq, was the work of George Bush's administration and that we had
not put him in office. After all, in 2000, Bush lost the popular vote and was
appointed president thanks to the intervention of the Supreme Court in a 5-4
decision. But in November 2004, regardless of claims about voter fraud, Bush
actually won the popular vote by over 3.5 million ballots, making his regime
and his wars ours.
Whether Americans intended it or not, we are now seen around
the world as approving the torture of captives at Abu Ghraib prison in Iraq,
at Bagram Air Base in Kabul, at Guantánamo Bay, Cuba, and at a global network
of secret CIA prisons, as well as having endorsed Bush's claim that, as commander-in-chief
in "wartime," he is beyond all constraints of the Constitution or international
law. We are now saddled with a rigged economy based on record-setting trade
and fiscal deficits, the most secretive and intrusive government in our country's
memory, and the pursuit of "preventive" war as a basis for foreign policy. Don't
forget as well the potential epidemic of nuclear proliferation as other nations
attempt to adjust to and defend themselves against Bush's preventive wars, while
our own already staggering nuclear arsenal expands toward first-strike primacy
and we expend unimaginable billions on futuristic ideas for warfare in outer
space.
The Choice Ahead
By the time I came to write Nemesis, I no longer doubted
that maintaining our empire abroad required resources and commitments that would
inevitably undercut, or simply skirt, what was left of our domestic democracy
and that might, in the end, produce a military dictatorship or far more
likely its civilian equivalent. The combination of huge standing armies,
almost continuous wars, an ever growing economic dependence on the military-industrial
complex and the making of weaponry, and ruinous military expenses as well as
a vast, bloated "defense" budget, not to speak of the creation of a whole second
Defense Department (known as the Department of Homeland Security) has been destroying
our republican structure of governing in favor of an imperial presidency. By
republican structure, of course, I mean the separation of powers and the elaborate
checks and balances that the founders of our country wrote into the Constitution
as the main bulwarks against dictatorship and tyranny, which they greatly feared.
We are on the brink of losing our democracy for the sake of keeping
our empire. Once a nation starts down that path, the dynamics that apply to
all empires come into play isolation, overstretch, the uniting of local
and global forces opposed to imperialism, and in the end bankruptcy.
History is instructive on this dilemma. If we choose to keep
our empire, as the Roman republic did, we will certainly lose our democracy
and grimly await the eventual blowback that imperialism generates. There is
an alternative, however. We could, like the British Empire after World War II,
keep our democracy by giving up our empire. The British did not do a particularly
brilliant job of liquidating their empire and there were several clear cases
where British imperialists defied their nation's commitment to democracy in
order to hang on to foreign privileges. The war against the Kikuyu in Kenya
in the 1950s and the Anglo-French-Israeli invasion of Egypt in 1956 are particularly
savage examples of that. But the overall thrust of postwar British history is
clear: the people of the British Isles chose democracy over imperialism.
In her book The
Origins of Totalitarianism, the political philosopher Hannah Arendt
offered the following summary of British imperialism and its fate:
"On the whole it was a failure because of the dichotomy between
the nation-state's legal principles and the methods needed to oppress other
people permanently. This failure was neither necessary nor due to ignorance
or incompetence. British imperialists knew very well that 'administrative
massacres' could keep India in bondage, but they also knew that public opinion
at home would not stand for such measures. Imperialism could have been a success
if the nation-state had been willing to pay the price, to commit suicide and
transform itself into a tyranny. It is one of the glories of Europe, and especially
of Great Britain, that she preferred to liquidate the empire."
I agree with this judgment. When one looks at Prime Minister
Tony Blair's unnecessary and futile support of Bush's invasion and occupation
of Iraq, one can only conclude that it was an atavistic response, that it represented
a British longing to relive the glories and cruelties of a past
that should have been ancient history.
As a form of government, imperialism does not seek or require
the consent of the governed. It is a pure form of tyranny. The American attempt
to combine domestic democracy with such tyrannical control over foreigners is
hopelessly contradictory and hypocritical. A country can be democratic or it
can be imperialistic, but it cannot be both.
The Road to Imperial Bankruptcy
The American political system failed to prevent this combination
from developing and may now be incapable of correcting it. The evidence
strongly suggests that the legislative and judicial branches of our government
have become so servile in the presence of the imperial Presidency that they
have largely lost the ability to respond in a principled and independent manner.
Even in the present moment of congressional stirring, there seems to be a deep
sense of helplessness. Various members of Congress have already attempted to
explain how the one clear power they retain to cut off funds for a disastrous
program is not one they are currently prepared to use.
So the question becomes, if not Congress, could the people themselves restore
Constitutional government? A grassroots movement to abolish secret government,
to bring the CIA and other illegal spying operations and private armies out
of the closet of imperial power and into the light, to break the hold of the
military-industrial complex, and to establish genuine public financing of elections
may be at least theoretically conceivable. But given the conglomerate control
of our mass media and the difficulties of mobilizing our large and diverse population,
such an opting for popular democracy, as we remember it from our past, seems
unlikely.
It is possible that, at some future moment, the US military
could actually take over the government and declare a dictatorship (though its
commanders would undoubtedly find a gentler, more user-friendly name for it).
That is, after all, how the Roman republic ended by being turned over
to a populist general, Julius Caesar, who had just been declared dictator for
life. After his assassination and a short interregnum, it was his grandnephew
Octavian who succeeded him and became the first Roman emperor, Augustus Caesar.
The American military is unlikely to go that route. But one cannot ignore the
fact that professional military officers seem to have played a considerable
role in getting rid of their civilian overlord, Secretary of Defense Donald
Rumsfeld. The new directors of the CIA, its main internal branches, the National
Security Agency, and many other key organs of the "defense establishment" are
now military (or ex-military) officers, strongly suggesting that the military
does not need to take over the government in order to control it. Meanwhile,
the all-volunteer army has emerged as an ever more separate institution in our
society, its profile less and less like that of the general populace.
Nonetheless, military coups, however decorous, are not part of
the American tradition, nor that of the officer corps, which might well worry
about how the citizenry would react to a move toward open military dictatorship.
Moreover, prosecutions of low-level military torturers from Abu Ghraib prison
and killers of civilians in Iraq have demonstrated to enlisted troops that obedience
to illegal orders can result in dire punishment in a situation where those of
higher rank go free. No one knows whether ordinary soldiers, even from what
is no longer in any normal sense a citizen army, would obey clearly illegal
orders to oust an elected government or whether the officer corps would ever
have sufficient confidence to issue such orders. In addition, the present system
already offers the military high command so much in funds, prestige,
and future employment via the famed "revolving door" of the military-industrial
complex that a perilous transition to anything like direct military rule
would make little sense under reasonably normal conditions.
Whatever future developments may prove to be, my best guess is
that the US will continue to maintain a façade of Constitutional government
and drift along until financial bankruptcy overtakes it. Of course, bankruptcy
will not mean the literal end of the US any more than it did for Germany in
1923, China in 1948, or Argentina in 2001-2002. It might, in fact, open the
way for an unexpected restoration of the American system or for military
rule, revolution, or simply some new development we cannot yet imagine.
Certainly, such a bankruptcy would mean a drastic lowering of
our standard of living, a further loss of control over international affairs,
a sudden need to adjust to the rise of other powers, including China and India,
and a further discrediting of the notion that the United States is somehow exceptional
compared to other nations. We will have to learn what it means to be a far poorer
country and the attitudes and manners that go with it. As Anatol
Lieven, author of America
Right or Wrong: An Anatomy of American Nationalism, observes:
"US global power, as presently conceived by the overwhelming
majority of the US establishment, is unsustainable. . . The empire can no
longer raise enough taxes or soldiers, it is increasingly indebted, and key
vassal states are no longer reliable. . . The result is that the empire can
no longer pay for enough of the professional troops it needs to fulfill its
self-assumed imperial tasks."
In February 2006, the Bush administration submitted to Congress
a $439 billion defense appropriation budget for fiscal year 2007. As the country
enters 2007, the administration is about to present a nearly $100 billion supplementary
request to Congress just for the Iraq and Afghan wars. At the same time, the
deficit in the country's current account the imbalance in the trading
of goods and services as well as the shortfall in all other cross-border payments
from interest income and rents to dividends and profits on direct investments
underwent its fastest ever quarterly deterioration. For 2005, the current
account deficit was $805 billion, 6.4% of national income. In 2005, the US
trade deficit, the largest component of the current account deficit, soared
to an all-time high of $725.8 billion, the fourth consecutive year that America's
trade debts set records. The trade deficit with China alone rose to $201.6 billion,
the highest imbalance ever recorded with any country. Meanwhile, since mid-2000,
the country has lost nearly three million manufacturing jobs.
To try to cope with these imbalances, on March 16, 2006, Congress
raised the national debt limit from $8.2 trillion to $8.96 trillion. This was
the fourth time since George W. Bush took office that it had to be raised. The
national debt is the total amount owed by the government and should not be confused
with the federal budget deficit, the annual amount by which federal spending
exceeds revenue. Had Congress not raised the debt limit, the US government
would not have been able to borrow more money and would have had to default
on its massive debts.
Among the creditors that finance these unprecedented sums, the
two largest are the central banks of China (with $853.7 billion in reserves)
and Japan (with $831.58 billion in reserves), both of which are the managers
of the huge trade surpluses these countries enjoy with the United States. This
helps explain why our debt burden has not yet triggered what standard economic
theory would dictate: a steep decline in the value of the US dollar followed
by a severe contraction of the American economy when we found we could no longer
afford the foreign goods we like so much. So far, both the Chinese and Japanese
governments continue to be willing to be paid in dollars in order to sustain
American purchases of their exports.
For the sake of their own domestic employment, both countries
lend huge amounts to the American treasury, but there is no guarantee of how
long they will want to, or be able to do so. Marshall Auerback, an international
financial strategist, says we have become a "Blanche Dubois economy" (so named
after the leading character in the Tennessee Williams play A Streetcar Named
Desire) heavily dependent on "the kindness of strangers." Unfortunately,
in our case, as in Blanche's, there are ever fewer strangers willing to support
our illusions.
So my own hope is that if the American people do not find
a way to choose democracy over empire at least our imperial venture will
end not with a nuclear bang but a financial whimper. From the present vantage
point, it certainly seems a daunting challenge for any president (or Congress)
from either party even to begin the task of dismantling the military-industrial
complex, ending the pall of "national security" secrecy and the "black budgets"
that make public oversight of what our government does impossible, and bringing
the president's secret army, the CIA, under democratic control. It's evident
that Nemesis in Greek mythology the goddess of vengeance, the punisher
of hubris and arrogance is already a visitor in our country, simply biding
her time before she makes her presence known.
Copyright © 2007 Chalmers Johnson