Let's start with the money the Bush administration
has already thrown at the war in Iraq. According to the June congressional
testimony of William Beach, director of the Center for Data Analysis, the war
has cost
$646 billion so far. The new defense budget for 2009 tacks on another
$68.6 billion for Iraq and Afghanistan in the coming year. However, military
expert Bill Hartung of the New America Foundation puts
a conservative estimate of the costs of a single week of the Iraq War at approximately
$3.5 billion (or about $180 billion a year).
In other words, the war in Iraq will cost far more in the next year than
the Iraq portion of that $68.6 billion Congress is about to pony up in the
defense budget, and so will be funded, as has long been true, through supplemental
war bills submitted by the Bush administration (and then whatever administration
follows). In other words, sometime in 2009 the
direct costs of the war the Bush administration once predicted would cost
perhaps $50-60 billion in total will stand at more than $800 billion, or $100
billion above the cost (if all goes well, which it won't) of the bailout of
the financial system now being proposed in Washington.
Estimates of the true long-term costs of the president's war of choice, including
payments of health care and veterans benefits into the distant future, soar
into the budgetary stratosphere. They range from the Congressional Budget Office's
$1-2 trillion to an estimate by economists Joseph Stiglitz and Linda J. Bilmes
of up to $4-5
trillion. So we're talking somewhere between one-and-a-half and seven bailouts-worth
of taxpayer dollars flowing into the morass of disaster, corruption, and carnage
in Iraq.
And here's another curious bit of information: Just the other day, the Web
site ThinkProgress pointed
out a strange glitch in Iraq planning. The Bush administration, deep into
negotiations with the Iraqi government, evidently managed to wheedle an extra
year's time for the prospective withdrawal of American combat troops from Iraq;
they pushed the date from 2010 – the year suggested by both Barack Obama and
Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki – to 2011. According to Maliki in an interview
with an Iraqi TV station, this change came from the administration's concern
over the "domestic situation" in the U.S. (that is, the needs of the McCain
campaign).
"Actually," said Maliki, "the final date was really the end of 2010 and the
period between the end of 2010 and the end of 2011 was for withdrawing the
remaining troops from all of Iraq, but they asked for a change [in date] due
to political circumstances related to the [U.S] domestic situation so it will
not be said to the end of 2010 followed by one year for withdrawal but the
end of 2011 as a final date." So we're talking about another perhaps $150-180
billion in 2011 – or approximately the full suggested
initial payout in the Washington bailout plan of at least one key Democrat.
This gives the phrase "presidential politics" new meaning. Now, just imagine
for a moment the situation we might be in if there had been no Iraq War. We
could have bailed ourselves out many times over.
As Chalmers Johnson, author most recently of Nemesis:
The Last Days of the American Republic, the final volume of his Blowback
Trilogy, has pointed out
for years, the Pentagon, the military-industrial complex, and America's wars
are in the process of bankrupting us. How strange then that, as he indicates
below, no one in the mainstream even blinks when a staggering new Pentagon
budget sails through the House of Representatives and then, by voice
vote, through the Senate just as negotiators in Washington have been scrambling
to find a similar sum to deal with a catastrophic financial meltdown; nor does
anyone in the mainstream bother to make
any connection between that budget and the funds we don't have available
to use elsewhere, or between the looting of Iraq and the looting of our financial
system (and, in both cases, of course, the looting of the American taxpayer).
Tom
We Have the Money
If only we didn't waste it on the defense budget
by Chalmers Johnson
There has been much moaning, air-sucking, and
outrage about the $700 billion that the U.S. government is thinking of throwing
away on rich New York bankers who have been ripping us off for the past few
years and then letting greed drive their businesses into a variety of ditches.
In fact, we dole out similar amounts of money every year in the form of payoffs
to the armed services, the military-industrial complex, and powerful senators
and representatives allied with the Pentagon.
On Wednesday, Sept. 24, right in the middle of the fight over billions of
taxpayer dollars slated to bail out Wall Street, the House of Representatives
passed a $612 billion defense authorization bill for 2009 without a murmur
of public protest or any meaningful press comment at all. (The New York
Times gave the matter only
three short paragraphs buried in a story about another appropriations measure.)
The
defense bill includes $68.6 billion to pursue the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan,
which is only a down-payment on the full yearly cost of these wars. (The rest
will be raised through future supplementary bills.) It also included a 3.9
percent pay raise for military personnel and $5 billion in pork-barrel projects
not even requested by the administration or the secretary of defense. It also
fully funds the Pentagon's request for a radar site in the Czech Republic,
a hare-brained scheme sure to infuriate the Russians just as much as a Russian
missile base in Cuba once infuriated us. The whole bill passed by a vote of
392-39 and will fly through the Senate, where a similar bill has already been
approved. And no one will even think to mention it in the same breath with
the discussion of bailout funds for dying investment banks and the like.
This is pure waste. Our annual spending on "national security" – meaning
the defense budget plus all military expenditures hidden in the budgets for
the departments of Energy, State, Treasury, Veterans Affairs, the CIA, and
numerous other places in the executive branch – already exceeds a trillion
dollars, an amount larger
than that of all other national defense budgets combined. Not only was
there no significant media coverage of this latest appropriation, there have
been no signs of even the slightest urge to inquire into the relationship
between our bloated military, our staggering weapons expenditures, our extravagantly
expensive failed wars abroad, and the financial catastrophe on Wall Street.
The only congressional "commentary" on the size of our military outlay was
the usual pompous drivel about how a failure to vote for the defense authorization
bill would betray our troops. The aged Sen. John Warner (R-Va.), former chairman
of the Senate Armed Services Committee, implored
his Republican colleagues to vote for the bill "out of respect for military
personnel." He seems to be unaware that these troops are actually volunteers,
not draftees, and that they joined the armed forces as a matter of career choice,
rather than because the nation demanded such a sacrifice from them.
We would better respect our armed forces by bringing the futile and misbegotten
wars in Iraq and Afghanistan to an end. A relative degree of peace and order
has returned to Iraq not because of President Bush's belated reinforcement
of our expeditionary army there (the so-called surge), but thanks to shifting
internal dynamics within Iraq and in the Middle East region generally. Such
shifts include a growing awareness among Iraq's Sunni population of the need
to restore law and order, a growing confidence among Iraqi Shi'ites of their
nearly unassailable position of political influence in the country, and a growing
awareness among Sunni nations that the ill-informed war of aggression the Bush
administration waged against Iraq has vastly increased the influence of Shi'ism
and Iran in the region.
The continued presence of American troops and their heavily reinforced bases
in Iraq threatens this return to relative stability. The refusal of the Shia
government of Iraq to agree to an American Status of Forces Agreement – much
desired by the Bush administration – that would exempt off-duty American
troops from Iraqi law is actually a good sign for the future of Iraq.
In Afghanistan, our historically deaf generals and civilian strategists
do not seem to understand that our defeat by the Afghan insurgents is inevitable.
Since the time of Alexander the Great, no foreign intruder has ever prevailed
over Afghan guerrillas defending their home turf. The first Anglo-Afghan
War (1838-1842) marked a particularly humiliating defeat of British imperialism
at the very height of English military power in the Victorian era. The Soviet-Afghan
War (1978-1989) resulted in a Russian defeat so demoralizing that it contributed
significantly to the disintegration of the former Soviet Union in 1991. We
are now on track to repeat virtually all the errors committed by previous
invaders of Afghanistan over the centuries.
In the past year, perhaps most disastrously, we have carried our Afghan
war into Pakistan,
a relatively wealthy and sophisticated nuclear power that has long cooperated
with us militarily. Our recent bungling brutality along the Afghan-Pakistan
border threatens to radicalize the Pashtuns in both countries and advance
the interests of radical Islam throughout the region. The United States is
now identified in each country mainly with Hellfire missiles, unmanned drones,
special operations raids, and repeated incidents of the killing of innocent
bystanders.
The brutal bombing of the Marriott Hotel in Pakistan's capital, Islamabad,
on Sept. 20, 2008, was a powerful indicator of the spreading strength of virulent
anti-American sentiment in the area. The hotel was a well-known watering hole
for American Marines, Special Forces troops, and CIA agents. Our military activities
in Pakistan have been as misguided as the Nixon-Kissinger invasion of Cambodia
in 1970. The end result will almost surely be the same.
We should begin our disengagement from Afghanistan at once. We dislike the
Taliban's fundamentalist religious values, but the Afghan public, with its
desperate desire for a return of law and order and the curbing of corruption,
knows that the Taliban is the only political force in the country that has
ever brought the opium trade under control. The Pakistanis and their effective
army can defend their country from Taliban domination so long as we abandon
the activities that are causing both Afghans and Pakistanis to see the Taliban
as a lesser evil.
One of America's greatest authorities on the defense budget, Winslow Wheeler,
worked for 31 years for Republican members of the Senate and for the General
Accounting Office on military expenditures. His conclusion,
when it comes to the fiscal sanity of our military spending, is devastating:
"America's defense budget is now larger in inflation-adjusted dollars than
at any point since the end of World War II, and yet our Army has fewer combat
brigades than at any point in that period; our Navy has fewer combat ships;
and the Air Force has fewer combat aircraft. Our major equipment inventories
for these major forces are older on average than any point since 1946 – or
in some cases, in our entire history."
This in itself is a national disgrace. Spending hundreds of billions of
dollars on present and future wars that have nothing to do with our national
security is simply obscene. And yet Congress has been corrupted by the military-industrial
complex into believing that, by voting for more defense spending, they are
supplying "jobs" for the economy. In fact, they are only diverting scarce
resources from the desperately needed rebuilding of the American infrastructure
and other crucial spending necessities into utterly wasteful munitions. If
we cannot cut back our long-standing, ever increasing military spending in
a major way, then the bankruptcy of the United States is inevitable. As the
current Wall Street meltdown has demonstrated, that is no longer an abstract
possibility but a growing likelihood. We do not have much time left.
Chalmers Johnson is the author of three linked books on the crises of American
imperialism and militarism. They are Blowback
(2000), The
Sorrows of Empire (2004), and Nemesis:
The Last Days of the American Republic (2006). All are available in
paperback from Metropolitan Books.
Copyright 2008 Chalmers Johnson