To succeed, next month's Israeli-Palestinian
conference here should establish and endorse the contours of a permanent peace
accord and secure the participation of Arab states that do not currently recognize
Israel, including Syria, according to a letter sent Wednesday to President George
W. Bush from a bipartisan group of eight former top US policy-makers.
The conference should also be used to launch Israeli-Syrian peace talks and
lay the groundwork for a ceasefire between Israel and Gaza, the first step toward
engaging Hamas, which controls Gaza, in the larger peace effort, according to
the letter, which was signed by the national security advisers to former US
presidents, Zbigniew Brzezinski and Brent Scowcroft, among others.
In order to be credible to Arab participants, however, the conference, which
is currently scheduled to take place Nov. 15 in Annapolis, Maryland, Israel
must commit itself to a freeze on all settlement expansion, according to the
letter, which was also signed by former Rep. Lee Hamilton, co-chair with former
Secretary of State James Baker of the Iraq Study Group.
"It is impossible to conduct a serious discussion on ending the occupation
while settlement construction proceeds apace," the letter stated. "Efforts
also should focus on alleviating the situation in Gaza and allowing the resumption
of its economic life."
Gaza, which has been controlled by Hamas since its forces routed Fatah fighters
loyal to Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas' Fatah party from the territory
last June, has been subject to a crippling Israeli- and US-led economic embargo
that has permitted only humanitarian supplies to reach its 1.3 million residents.
The letter comes amid intensified exchanges between Abbas and Israeli Prime
Minister Ehud Olmert in advance of next month's conference, and follows the
publication late last month of another letter from five former senior US diplomats
with lengthy service in the Middle East. It urged Secretary of State Condoleezza
Rice to intensify her own mediation efforts to ensure a successful outcome.
That letter called on Washington to offer its own "bridging proposals"
and make far more use of the "Quartet's" new special envoy, former
British Prime Minister Tony Blair, to narrow differences between the two sides
in the run-up to the meeting. It also urged the administration to take steps
to draw potential spoilers, notably Hamas and Syria, into an expanded peace
process that should include a series of follow-up meetings.
Both letters stressed that any final communiqué coming out of the November
conference should include mutually agreed understandings between Israel and
the Palestinians on five key issues that are considered central to any final
settlement that would be reached between them. Those understandings should then
be enshrined in a new U.N. Security Council resolution.
They include the creation of two states based on the 1967 Green Line with minor,
reciprocal, and agreed-upon modifications through one-to-one land swaps; recognition
of Jerusalem as the capital of both the Israeli and Palestinians states, with
Jewish neighborhoods to fall under Israeli sovereignty and Arab neighborhoods
under Palestinian sovereignty; and with special arrangements for the Old City
guaranteeing unimpeded access by each community to their holy places.
The two letters also called for mutually agreed understandings on the Palestinian
refugee problem, including financial compensation and resettlement assistance
for those refugees who cannot or do not want to live in a new Palestinian state;
and on the creation of security mechanisms that that would address Israeli concerns
while respecting Palestinian sovereignty.
"Because failure risks devastating consequences in the region and beyond,
it is critically important that the conference succeed," according to Wednesday's
letter, which was co-sponsored by the International Crisis Group (ICG), the
New America Foundation (NAF), and the US/Middle East Project.
While the administration is unlikely to object to any of these understandings,
many analysts doubt its willingness to push hard on the two parties, particularly
Israel, to make the necessary compromises.
Many of the same analysts believe the administration may be actively opposed
to the two letters' other recommendations, particularly their call to end Washington's
efforts to isolate Syria and Hamas, which are seen by the administration's hawks
as part of an extremist, Iranian-led radical alliance determined to oust the
region's "moderate", pro-US regimes and destroy Israel.
While Wednesday's letter praised the Bush administration's decision to invite
Syria to Annapolis, it added that Washington should follow up with "genuine
engagement" with Damascus, a recommendation also made by the Iraq Study
Group, which Bush has steadfastly resisted.
"A breakthrough on this track could profoundly alter the regional landscape,"
the letter said. "At a minimum, the conference should launch Israeli-Syrian
talks under international auspices."
As for Hamas, both letters called for a reversal of US policy. "We believe
that a genuine dialogue with the organization is far preferable to its isolation,"
the Wednesday letter asserted, suggesting that it could be conducted indirectly
through the UN and Blair. "Promoting a ceasefire between Israel and Gaza
would be a good starting point," it added.
"If Syria or Hamas is ostracized, prospects that they will play a spoiler
role increase dramatically," the letter warned. "This could take the
shape of escalating violence from the West Bank or from Gaza, either of which
would overwhelm any political achievement, increase the political cost of compromises
for both sides and negate Israel's willingness or capacity to relax security
restrictions."
In addition to these steps, the same letter stressed the necessity for agreement
in Annapolis on implementing "concrete steps" to improve conditions
on the ground, including a comprehensive cease-fire in both the West Bank and
Gaza, an exchange of prisoners, prevention of arms smuggling, dismantling of
illegal Israeli outposts, and ensuring greater Palestinian freedom of movement.
"Of utmost importance," it added, was to freeze Israeli settlement
expansion and improving the economic situation in Gaza.
Other signers of Wednesday's letter included Paul Volcker, the former chairman
of the US Federal Reserve; former US Trade Representative Carla Hills; former
Republican Sen. Nancy Kassebaum-Baker; former special counsel to President John
F. Kennedy, Theodore Sorenson; and former UN Ambassador and Under-Secretary
of State Thomas Pickering.
"The administration is finally showing some political will to move on
Middle East peacemaking," noted Daniel Levy, a former Israeli peace negotiator
currently with NAF. "It must now combine that with political skill to achieve
positive results, and a good place to start would be listening to wise and experienced
counsel."
(Inter Press Service)