Over the past six years the Bush administration,
aided and abetted by Congress, has trashed what used to be described as American
foreign policy. Foreign policy once was shaped around the U.S. national interest,
but no longer. Vulnerable key allies such as Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt
are now struggling to deal with the consequences of a U.S.-inspired rush to
democracy that has advanced a flawed, ideologically driven agenda. Russia was
nearly a friend and is now again an enemy. Afghanistan is a corrupt narco-state
where the Taliban is making a comeback and President Hamid Karzai is referred
to as the King of Kabul because his writ runs no farther. The less said about
Iraq the better. But amid all of the missteps and poor policy choices, the loss
of Turkey stands apart because Turkey was a close friend and loyal ally of the
United States when 9/11 took place. Nearly everything has gone wrong between
Washington and Ankara, with the Turkish public's favorable assessment of the
U.S. plummeting from 52 percent to 8 percent. And it did not have to happen.
Turkey actively supported the first Gulf War against Saddam Hussein. In February
2002 Ankara provided troops for the multinational International Security Assistance
Force (ISAF) sent to occupy Afghanistan, commanding ISAF twice for a total of
14 months, but the relationship began to sour in 2002 when the United States
was confronted by political change in Turkey that it did not know how to handle.
Already actively planning to attack Iraq, the U.S. government sent a team to
Ankara on July 14, 2002, to negotiate terms for Turkey's participation in a
possible military action. The team was headed by Deputy Secretary of Defense
Paul Wolfowitz and Undersecretary of State for Political Affairs Marc Grossman,
a former ambassador to Turkey. Both Grossman and Wolfowitz were also strong
advocates of the Turkey-Israel military relationship, which gave Tel Aviv a
powerful ally in a Muslim country and guaranteed that the U.S. Congress would
look benignly on Ankara.
The Turkish government appeared to be willing to accept an agreement in exchange
for a large financial aid package, but on Nov. 3, 2002, parliamentary elections
in Turkey replaced incumbent Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit with Recep Tayyip
Erdogan of the moderately Islamic Justice and Development Party (AK). Wolfowitz
and Grossman returned to Turkey to negotiate with the new government. Erdogan
was definitely interested, if only to convince his critics within the Turkish
establishment and army that he was supportive of the Western alliance, but polls
taken in Turkey indicated that fully 87 percent of the public opposed war against
Iraq. Many recalled the 1991 Gulf War, in which Turkey had to absorb more than
half a million refugees and suffered severe economic dislocation, including
a currency collapse. The Turks also believed that the U.S. was seeking to guarantee
the security of Israel by stopping a Muslim country from having either weapons
of mass destruction or the means to deliver them. It was noted with some concern
in the Turkish media that the spokesmen for the war policy were all neoconservatives
closely tied to Tel Aviv, notably Wolfowitz, Grossman, Douglas Feith, Richard
Perle, and Harold Rhode, and that the Israel lobby in Washington had promoted
the plans to attack Iraq.
The Turkish General Staff, a major player in all foreign policy decisions,
was also cool to the war, harboring suspicions that a U.S. intervention in Iraq
would lead to the creation of an independent Kurdish state. Wolfowitz appealed
to the generals directly on his second visit, bypassing the government and apparently
suggesting that they might want to overrule the civilians, something dangerously
close to a coup d'etat. The army expressed concern that if Turkey wound
up having to carry out a long occupation of the Kurdish region due to American
failure to successfully stabilize Iraq, the financial and human costs would
be unacceptably high.
As has frequently been the case, Washington, blind to many of the real issues
that were fueling Turkish reluctance, tried to buy cooperation. Negotiations
continued up to the last minute. Eventually the Turkish leadership and the U.S.
agreed on a package consisting of $6 billion in immediate aid plus $24 billion
in credits, but the open horse trading did not help sell the product, as many
parliamentarians objected to the idea that they could be bought. Fifty thousand
peace demonstrators marched in Ankara during the acrimonious parliamentary debate
in which one deputy fainted and another suffered a heart attack. The actual
vote finally took place on March 1, and the resolution failed to carry by three
votes.
The parliamentary rejection was soon followed by a particularly unfortunate
choice for U.S. ambassador to Turkey. In July 2003 Eric S. Edelman was named
to the post and quickly became confrontational about Turkey's failure to support
the American agenda. The abrasive Edelman was accused of acting "more like
a colonial governor than an ambassador. … [He] is probably the least-liked and
trusted American ambassador in Turkish history." A petition that received thousands
of signatures was circulated demanding that he be declared persona non grata
and expelled from the country.
Edelman was not helped by press coverage coming from the U.S., which was followed
closely and frequently replayed in Turkey. On Feb. 16, 2005, Robert Pollock's
"The
Sick Man of Europe – Again" claimed that "Islamism and leftism
add up to anti-American madness in Turkey." A March 23, 2005, conference
on Turkey at the neoconservative American Enterprise Institute featured Pollock,
Richard Perle, and Michael Rubin, all of whom had been harshly criticizing Ankara's
policies in the U.S. media. The Turkish press reciprocated with accounts of
American atrocities in Iraq. A spectacularly best-selling novel, Metal Storm,
described a United States invasion of Turkey and was reportedly much read by
senior politicians and military officers, while the most popular locally made
movie in Turkish history, Valley of the Wolves, showed a Jewish
American Army doctor harvesting Iraqi prisoner of war organs for shipment to
Tel Aviv, London, and New York.
On March 20, 2005, Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld poured gasoline on
the fire, blaming Turkey for the consequences of its refusal to permit an attack
on Iraq from the north, saying, "Given the level of the insurgency today,
two years later, clearly if we had been able to get the 4th Infantry Division
in from the north … more of the … Ba'athist regime would have been captured
or killed." Had Turkey cooperated, Rumsfeld added, "The insurgency
today would have been less."
The U.S. also proved to be spectacularly insensitive regarding the Kurdish
issue. Turkey became the most anti-American nation on earth when on July 4,
2003, American forces in Iraq briefly detained Turkish special forces soldiers
pursuing escaping PKK terrorists. The U.S. troops put the Turks in the same
restraints and hoods as Iraqi prisoners, creating an image that still evokes
anger among Turks and which was recreated in Valley of the Wolves.
Turks believe that though the U.S. claims it is fighting terrorists worldwide,
it has ignored the PKK attacks that started in 1984 and have cost of over 35,000
lives and $6 billion to $8 billion in security costs per year. The problem is
very real for Turkey and something it can ill afford, but Washington is clearly
not listening. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice promised Ankara on at least
three occasions that she would do something about the terrorism problem but
did nothing. Former Gen. Joseph Ralston was sent to the region as a special
emissary on the PKK problem in September 2006 with a White House and State Department
pledge of "total commitment" to find a solution. Nothing was done
and Ralston quickly found that he had no support from Washington. He resigned
in early October 2007.
The final blow to U.S.-Turkish relations came with the pointless Armenian genocide
resolution, which sailed through the House Foreign Affairs Committee in early October
2007. The resolution was described by both the White House and State Department
as harmful to the national interest but passed out of the Foreign Affairs Committee
when seven Democrats who had previously blocked such resolutions because of
their support for the Turkey-Israel relationship switched their votes to provide
the margin of victory. Committee Chairman Tom Lantos of California led the switch,
expressing the need for "solidarity with the Armenian people" while
acknowledging that a breach with Turkey could "cause young men and women
in the uniform of the United States armed services to pay an even heavier price
than they are currently paying." Lantos reportedly was angry with the Turkish
government for its rapprochement with Syria and Iran, and his vote was intended
"to punish Ankara" even though he conceded that the killing of the
Armenians did not amount to genocide. Given the Israeli connection to the genocide
resolution, the Turks believed that insult had been added to injury when the
White House dispatched Dan Fried, assistant secretary of state for European
affairs, and the ever unpopular Eric Edelman in his new role as undersecretary
of defense for policy to Ankara to attempt to ease Turkish anger over the congressional
vote. Both were regarded as primarily advocates for Israel. The meetings also
could not have been more poorly timed, as 15 Turkish soldiers had been killed
by the PKK in the previous week.