Antiwar.com Blog

Forget Iraq (for a moment, anyway) – what is going on in Ukraine?

Following the narrow victory (well, 3%, just like in the US election) of Viktor Yanukovich over challenger Viktor Yushchenko, the Yushchenko-ites have adorned themselves with bright orange garments and taken to mass street protests, challenging the legitimacy of the election and demanding a re-vote. Yushchenko even took an oath of presidency, before a group of parliamentarians well short of the quorum he needed.

But here’s a problem: the elections weren’t stolen. So says the BHHRG, one of the few NGOs in the West that isn’t a handmaiden of the Empire.

What we’re seeing is rather a re-run of “revolutions” in Belgrade (2000), Tbilisi (2003) and the attempted coup in Belarus (2001), which prominently features CIA-trained student activists from Serbia, and propaganda and financial support from the Empire.

This isn’t a popular movement, much less a democratic revolution. Commentator Jonathan Steele of the British Guardian calls this circus a “postmodern coup d’etat”. His colleague, reporter Ian Traynor, lays out the facts about the mechanism behind Yushchenko: it’s a must-read.

Lew Rockwell dispenses with the “revolutionary” nonsense on his blog:

“In fact, the US is engaging in an imperial adventure. It is seeking to install its man in office via the CIA, and to have Ukraine join Nato and become a US satellite. This is the equivalent of the old Russia subverting Mexico, and having it join the Warsaw Pact, a very hostile act.

Every neocon in the world is screaming the same line. No rational man could agree on that basis alone.”

Lew also says that because of Ukrainians’ suffering under Stalin and Communism in general,
“…one can understand Ukrainian feelings towards Russia. Still, becoming the agent of a hostile power is not a good idea. In any event, it is none of the US’s business.”

I couldn’t agree more.

And that’s what it really comes down to: becoming the agent of a hostile power. In addition to being a very destructive political system, democracy has become a means of Imperial conquest as well. Any time Washington and/or Brussels want to take over a country, they activate the fifth column of NGOs and “human rights” organizations, print posters and slogans, and threaten violence unless their candidate is elected. For all their shouting about some alleged resurgence of Russian imperialism, it’s the Western Empire that’s behaving like the Soviets now. It would be ironic, were it not so true.

A report delivered by the Defense Science Board, an advisory committee to the US Defense Department, to the Office of the Secretary of Defense around the end of September has gotten very little media attention, maybe because, as Tom Shanker of the NYT writes,

A harshly critical report by a Pentagon advisory panel says the United States is failing in its efforts to explain the nation’s diplomatic and military actions to the Muslim world, but it warns that no public relations plan or information operation can defend America from flawed policies.

Which rather sums up a point Michael Scheuer’s Imperial Hubris: Why the West is Losing the War on Terror makes repeatedly. Of course the Bush administration didn’t listen to him and just to prove they won’t get the point of this report either, Larry Di Rita made this comment on behalf of the Pentagon:

“We’re wrestling with this,” Mr. Di Rita said. “But it doesn’t change the underlying principle, at least with respect to the Department of Defense. Our job is to put out information to the public that is accurate, and to put it out as quickly as we can.”

The 102-page report is online here (PDF). I haven’t had any luck with the link, but happily, Helena Cobban has heavily excerpted the paper on her blog. Here are a couple of gems to show why it bounced off the stony skulls of the Bushies:

• Strategic communication [to be effective, will] … build on indepth knowledge of other cultures and factors that motivate human behavior. It will adapt techniques of skillful political campaigning, even as it avoids slogans, quick fixes, and mind sets of winners and losers. It will search out credible messengers and create message authority. It will seek to persuade within news cycles, weeks, and months. It will engage in a respectful dialogue of ideas that begins with listening and assumes decades of sustained effort.
• But opinions must be taken into account when policy options are considered and implemented. At a minimum, we should not be surprised by public reactions to policy choices. Policies will not succeed unless they are communicated to global and domestic audiences in ways that are credible and allow them to make informed, independent judgments. Words in tone and substance should avoid offence where possible; messages should seek to reduce, not increase, perceptions of arrogance, opportunism, and double standards.

Listening?? Avoid offence?? Isn’t that a little too….French? But, wait. It gets worse….

American direct intervention in the Muslim World has paradoxically elevated the stature of and support for radical Islamists, while diminishing support for the United States to single-digits in some Arab societies.

• Muslims do not “hate our freedom,” but rather, they hate our policies.[HC emphasis] The overwhelming majority voice their objections to what they see as one-sided support in favor of Israel and against Palestinian rights, and the longstanding, even increasing support for what Muslims collectively see as tyrannies, most notably Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Pakistan, and the Gulf states.
• Thus when American public diplomacy talks about bringing democracy to Islamic societies, this is seen as no more than self-serving hypocrisy. Moreover, saying that “freedom is the future of the Middle East” is seen as patronizing, suggesting that Arabs are like the enslaved peoples of the old Communist World — but Muslims do not feel this way: they feel oppressed, but not enslaved.
• Furthermore, in the eyes of Muslims, American occupation of Afghanistan and Iraq has not led to democracy there, but only more chaos and suffering. U.S. actions appear in contrast to be motivated by ulterior motives, and deliberately controlled in order to best serve American national interests at the expense of truly Muslim selfdetermination.

[…]

• Finally, Muslims see Americans as strangely narcissistic — namely, that the war is all about us. As the Muslims see it, everything about the war is — for Americans — really no more than an extension of American domestic politics and its great game. This perception is of course necessarily heightened by election-year atmospherics, but nonetheless sustains their impression that when Americans talk to Muslims they arereally just talking to themselves.

Thus the critical problem in American public diplomacy directed toward the Muslim World is not one of “dissemination of information,” or even one of crafting and delivering the “right” message. Rather, it is a fundamental problem of credibility. Simply, there is none — the United States today is without a working channel of communication to the world of Muslims and of Islam. Inevitably therefore, whatever Americans do and say only serves the party that has both the message and the “loud and clear” channel: the enemy.

And this, Helena says, is repeated throughout the report:In other words, they do not hate us for our values, but because of our policies.

But then an administration that thought a pre-9/11 briefing titled Bin Laden Determined To Strike in US was a “historical document” will likely think this report should go in the bin with other such famously ignored reports as The Future of Iraq project and Joe Wilson’s report on Niger yellowcake.

MOSUL, IRAQ: An Iraqi man stands next to three unidentified bodies with a yellow note placed in the mouth of one of the bodies accusing them of being Kurdish peshmerga fighters, in Mosul, 370 kms north of Baghdad, 21 November 2004. (UJAHED MOHAMMED/AFP/Getty Images)

Well, the sun’s been down for 3 hours in Baghdad now, so this should be the final Dead Body in Mosul tally for Friday: 21. Total number of bodies found in the last week: 41. (Correction: 21 appears to be the number for Thursday and Friday combined.)

The picture on the left, showing bodies found November 21, is graphic. Click the thumbnail to enlarge.

Iraq in Pictures has more photos.

UPDATE: Iraq in Pictures has today’s photos up from Mosul.

Zarqawi aide arrested in Mosul! Really! Just because Iraqi Minister of State Qassim Dawoud was full of merde when he announced the capture of Izzat Ibrahim al-Douri, doesn’t mean he’s always wrong. Right?

Iraqi security adviser Kassim Daoud told a news conference Iraqi national guard soldiers had found a chemical laboratory in the former rebel stronghold of Falluja that was used to “prepare deadly explosives and poisons”, although US Marines in the city were sceptical evidence of the manufacture of chemical weapons had been found.

“They also found in the lab booklets and instructions on how to make bombs and poisons. They even talked about the production of anthrax,” Mr Daoud said.

Mr Daoud also said one of Zarqawi’s lieutenants, who he identified only as Abu Saeed, had been captured a few days ago in Mosul.

I don’t know why anyone reports this stuff, let alone why it’s all over the newswires. You’d think nothing else was going on.

These aren’t the droids you’re looking for….

David Frum complains about CAIR’s attempted suppression of his free speech. Maybe Frum would like to team up with Juan Cole to protest such tactics. Drop him a line and let’s see: dfrum@aei.org

Frum also writes the following:

Speaking of free societies: The faking of the election in Ukraine should remind Europeans that they face more serious threats and much closer to home than the reelection of George W. Bush. To borrow an observation of Radek Sikorski’s, independent Russia can be a normal country with a democratic future: Russia plus Ukraine is the Russian empire, which can never be a democracy. And it was precisely the issue of Ukrainian independence – and thus Ukrainian democracy – that was at stake this weekend. The integrity of Ukrainian elections is not just an internal Ukrainian matter: It is a portent for the future of all Europe and all the West.

Russian empire? Russian empire?! He’s joking, right?

(Hat tip: Jim Henley.)

Here are some interesting factoids gleaned from Iraq Pipeline Watch, a website run by the Institute for the Analysis of Global Security which bills itself as “the world’s only non-profit public educational organization focusing on energy security.”

In 2003, starting June 12, there were 37 attacks on Iraqi pipelines, oil installations, and oil personnel.

In 2004, there have been 163, so far. In November, through today, there have been 24, for an average of one per day. November also marks the first time oil wells have been set afire. There are currently 6 burning, all in the Khubbaz field, west of Kirkuk.