Director of National Intelligence James Clapper and Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency Army Lieutenant General Michael Flynn testified before the Senate Armed Services Committee today and reiterated the same assessment regarding Iran as was delivered last month.
The exact same statements – verbatim – were included in Clapper’s unclassified report, including the assessment that, “Iran is developing nuclear capabilities to enhance its security, prestige, and regional influence and give it the ability to develop nuclear weapons, should a decision be made to do so. We do not know if Iran will eventually decide to build nuclear weapons.”
Of course, as Clapper notes, Iran’s ability to potentially manufacture the components is inherent to its advanced nuclear infrastructure and is not an indication of an active nuclear weapons program, which all U.S. intelligence agencies agree Iran does not have.
As such, Clapper again reported to the Senate Committee, “Iran has the scientific, technical, and industrial capacity to eventually produce nuclear weapons. This makes the central issue its political will to do so.”
In his testimony, Clapper stated that, were the decision to weaponize its nuclear energy program to be made by Ayatollah Khamenei, Iran could theoretically reach a “breakout” point within “months, not years.” His report repeats the assessment, though, that “[d]espite this progress, we assess Iran could not divert safeguarded material and produce a weapon-worth of WGU before this activity is discovered.”
Again, undermining the bogus claims that Iran is an irrational and reckless actor, Clapper maintained the judgment that “Iran’s nuclear decisionmaking is guided by a cost-benefit approach,” balancing its own domestic interests with “the international political and security environment.” Iran also has a defensive – not aggressive – military posture, one based on “its strategy to deter – and if necessary retaliate against – forces in the region, including US forces” were an attack on Iran to occur.
During questioning from Senators following his prepared remarks, Clapper admitted – as a number of recent independent reports have shown – that the increasingly harsh sanctions levied upon Iran have had no effect on the decision-making process of the Iranian leadership, yet has produced considerable damage to the Iranian economy and resulted in increased “inflation, unemployment, [and the] unavailability of commodities” for the Iranian people.
This, he said, is entirely the point. Responding to Maine Senator Angus King, who asked about the impact sanctions have on the Iranian government, Clapper explained that the intent of sanctions is to spark dissent and unrest in the Iranian population, effectively starting that Obama administration’s continued collective punishment of the Iranian people is a deliberate (and embarrassingly futile) tactic employed to foment regime change.
“What they do worry about though is sufficient restiveness in the street that would actually jeopardize the regime. I think they are concerned about that,” Clapper said of the Iranian leadership. It is no wonder, then, that Clapper refers in his own official report to the economic warfare waged against Iran as “regime threatening sanctions.”
Not mentioned in the session, of course, are the decades of repeated affirmations by senior Iranian officials that Iran rejects nuclear weapons on strategic, moral and religious grounds. Within the past six weeks, this position has been reiterated by Iran’s envoy to the IAEA Ali Asghar Soltanieh, President Ahmadinejad, and Ayatollah Khamenei himself.
Just two days ago, for instance, during a three-day diplomatic visit to Africa, Ahmadinejad declared, “The era of the atomic bomb is over. Atomic bombs are no longer useful and have no effect on political equations. Atomic bombs belong to the last century, and anyone who thinks he can rule the world by atomic bombs is a political fool,” according to a report by Iran’s state-run PressTV. He also pushed back the constant conflation in Western discourse of nuclear energy with nuclear weapons. “Nuclear energy is one thing and an atomic bomb is another. This useful energy must belong to all nations,” he added.
Furthermore, reports that Iran has continued converting its stockpiled 19.75% enriched uranium into fuel plates for its cancer-treating medical research reactor gained absolutely no traction within the Committee or Clapper’s comments. For Congress, Iran is a threat simply by virtue of having independent political considerations, inalienable national rights and refusing to accept American hegemony over its own security interests.
South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham, who spends most of his time advocating for new, illegal military adventures in the Middle East, presented this wholly disingenuous and misleading question to Clapper: “Over the last six months, as we’ve been imposing sanctions and been negotiating with the P5+1 regime, [does Iran] have more or less enriched uranium for a nuclear bomb?”
None of Iran’s enriched uranium is “for a nuclear bomb” insofar as it is all far from weapons-grade and under the safeguard and seal of the IAEA. Iran’s enriched uranium is no more “for a nuclear bomb” than Graham’s fanciest set of steak knives are for throat-slitting.
“Can I just say it’s more?,” Graham proffered, revealing that he already knew the answer he wanted to hear, at which point Clapper chimed in. “Not highly-enriched,” he said, “but up to the 20% level.” Graham was undeterred from his propagandizing and grandstanding. “Well, they’re marching in the wrong direction,” he said. “We talk, they enrich.” AIPAC poetry at its finest.
Shortly before ending the session, in response to questions from Connecticut Senator Richard Blumenthal, Clapper stated that the relationship between the American and Israeli intelligence communities – especially on the Iranian nuclear program – has “never been closer or more pervasive,” citing unprecedented levels of “intimacy.”
While each state continues to maintain its own unique sources for intelligence gathering, Clapper said, “generally speaking,” the United States and Israel are “on the same page” when it comes to Iran.
Pressing the issue on behalf of his AIPAC backers, Blumenthal asked whether all information is shared between the two nuclear-armed nations, at which point Clapper declined to agree completely.
“Pretty much,” he replied.
Why was Clapper being so cagey? An Associated Press report from last July seems to provide an answer:
Despite inarguable ties between the U.S. and its closest ally in the Middle East and despite statements from U.S. politicians trumpeting the friendship, U.S. national security officials consider Israel to be, at times, a frustrating ally and a genuine counterintelligence threat.
In fact, the AP states, “The CIA considers Israel its No. 1 counterintelligence threat” in the Middle East, meaning that the agency “believes that U.S. national secrets are safer from other Middle Eastern governments than from Israel.” This is unsurprising, of course, as “Israel’s foreign intelligence service, the Mossad, and its FBI equivalent, the Shin Bet, both considered among the best in the world, have been suspected of recruiting U.S. officials and trying to steal American secrets.”
Did any of that make it into Clapper’s “Worldwide Threat Assessment” today? No, of course not. Israel was only mentioned as a victim and an ally. One might think an untrustworthy, nuclear-armed serial aggressor, constantly threatening to drag the United States into an unprovoked military conflict with inevitable devastating consequences, all with the allegiance and blessing of Congress, would rank rather high on potential security threats to the United States.
But James Clapper isn’t allowed to say that.
Nima Shirazi is an independent researcher and political analyst. He is an editor for the online magazine Muftah and contributing writer for Mondoweiss. Follow him on Twitter @WideAsleepNima
This piece was cross-posted with permission from Wide Asleep in America.
10 thoughts on “Clapper: Iran Still Not Building Nukes; Sanctions Intended to Foster Unrest”
Iran does need nuclear weapons. The central issue is not 'political will', but whether they can complete the project and deploy the weapons before an attack on them makes it impossible for them to do so.
Either they already have a clandestine program to make nukes – in which case they've managed to successfully hide the whole thing. Or they're beefing up their nuclear technology as much as possible in order to shorten the time needed to complete development and deployment.
Time is not the only limitation – they need more heavily-bunkered facilities like Fordow. Also, setting up a nuclear reactor which is fully fueled by their own produced Uranium, makes it possible for them to own (and store) the plutonium generated by the reactor, and later extract it to use in bombs.
Unfortunately this is true.
As said a few years ago this is the first stage in a war.
Washington doctrine on nuclear weapons and stes to be attacked states that you do not attack states with detterent tactical nuclear weapons.
"Iran does need nuclear weapons."
A complete, baseless, and brazen lie that the entire American Intelligence Community and Mossad reject. Thank you for putting this at the beginning of your comment so that I know everything subsequent is complete BS as well. Take care.
Now I've totally embarassed myself. I read "Iran does indeed have nuclear weapons." How? Good question. I guess I need to get some sleep. My apologies.
"A civilised man refrains himself". That sentence, in diverse forms in French, is attributed to Lucien Auguste Camus, fallen dead during "La Grande Guerre", shortly after having fathered Albert, who never knew him, and who got awarded a Nobel Prize for Literature in 1957, back then when female talibans hadn't taken over Sweden yet.
That sentence proves that even Islamic Persians are far more civilised than Americans.
And though possibly Albert Camus was the greatest French writer of the 20th century, I invite you to Google for his quotes, hoping that you will wish to read him, for me, he is on the same level as Borghes, he too was deluded, for instance, he believed that Algeria was French. I wonder how a great like him would ponder with the "humanitarian" temptations the devil has come up with these days.
So Iranian don’t make any atomic bomb, so they must be using this energy for a peaceful matters.., and there is no unrest for all this time when US and EU sanction implemented which means.., that people of iran have no desire to change anything as the Syria people.., so why USA and EU still at war in Syria wanting to work against peoples will and changing regimes, causing domestic economical problem by having all these sanctions imposed on countries.., few things comes to mind…, stupidity, manipulation, diluted minds, paranoid but above all vulture capitalism hand in hand with its militarism regime wanting to conquer the world making it their own.., stupid, manipulated, paranoia, and above all…,
Israel has nukes, and no one in the Security Council is doing anything about it. Another pogrom in the making.
Now I’ve totally embarassed myself. I read “Iran does indeed have nuclear weapons”. How? Good question. I guess I need to go to sleep. My apologies.
So the whole thing (sanctions) is to 'stir up unrest'. And to what pt. then ? Essentially what he is saying is that the US wants to bring back the Shah or some facsimile of that. That's the only thing that will satisfy them. An American 'agent' ruling over the population of Iran, for the benefit and profit of American and Israeli business and military interests.
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is largely to blame for the nuclear impasse between Iran and Israel. He threatened to wipe off Israel from the world map even when he knew that Iran had no capacity to do so. And making his threats at a time when the civilian nuclear program was beginning made the Israelis suspicious of Iran’s intentions.
The purpose of the sanctions is to make it hard for the Iranians to support Syria. It is a divide and conquer or rather neutralize the value of Syrian Iranian alliance. In the mean time US and gulf states friends continue to send weapons to Syrian terrorist groups in a bid to destabilize Assad. US has said that Iran is less than five years away from nuclear bomb capability for 35 years. Apparently nuclear weapons are not high on their priority list because they would have had them 30 years ago. So a few 100k Iranians die from the sanctions, not the concern of the empire, they will say it was a small price to pay for preventing nuclear Iran. In the last round the US and western friends helps Iraq build chemical weapons to prevent to Iranian hordes from overrunning the gulf. O I forgot it was Iraq our friend who initiated the war.
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